Thursday, December 31, 2009

HAPPY NEW YEAR

Thank you for all your support, encouragement.
I hope that I have been helpful in your trading career.
I am certain we all shall be more prosperous and abundant in 2010.
Have a Happy New Year.

Wednesday, December 30, 2009

Financial Markets Outlook -- Get Ready For Correction - UPDATE


As you know, one of my specialty tools is (certain) angles trend-lines. If you look at one of previously posted charts of SPY, you shall find this trend-line.

I believe, based upon this analysis (along with the other previously presented analysis), that Financial Markets have reached an intermediate resistance, thus an interim top

Monday, December 28, 2009

AAPL Weekly Chart - Square Update

AAPL Weekly Chart - Squaring Price and Time Cycles
I don't have to say anything, picture is saying. Please compare this chart with same charts posted in the past (also yesterday's post). How AAPL has been following the square faithfully (click on the charts to enlarge)


AAPL daily charts - Price and Time Squaring

Sunday, December 27, 2009

Financial Markets Outlook -- Get Ready For Correction

Strong Time Cycles Coming on Dec 26-28

These strong cycles have consistently created the reversal in the trend of the markets in the past.

Furthermore, prices on the SP-500 and Dow Jones have flirting with 50% retracement levels from the 07-09 bear market move.

Do these strong time cycles trigger the price cycles currently facing resistance at current levels and thus a correction? Very likely!

For AAPL lovers, see the update below according to my squaring of the price and time cycles of AAPL

AAPL Update:

Wednesday, December 23, 2009

Merry Christmas and Happy Holidays

Let me borrow someone's words to carry my inner thoughts:

Christmas is not in tinsel and lights and outward show.
The secret lies in an inner glow.
It's lighting a fire inside the heart.
Good will and joy a vital part.
It's higher thought and a greater plan.
It's glorious dream in the soul of man.

Best of all, Christmas means a spirit of love, a time when the love of God and the love of our fellow men should prevail over all hatred and bitterness, a time when our thoughts and deeds and the spirit of our lives manifest the presence of God.
And perhaps the best Yuletide decoration is being wreathed in smiles.

Market Outlook with another perspective

VIX is often called the fear index!



Of course, I am not saying the big push down is coming tomorrow.

But it must be kept into perspective with the long term goals, if anyone cares to have one.

Tuesday, December 22, 2009

IBM Update

I cannot teach money management at this time, which is the one of holy grails of the trading. along with the rules to enter and exit the trade. May be one the next posts, I shall address that.        For a market to experience a CIT (Change in Trend); price cycles and time cycles must coincide in confluence. Price cycles and time cycle confluence is, like +ve and -ve charges to come in together to create a spark or blow out. More exact they come in, stronger the reaction of the market shall be. It has been proven in several of my forecasts. Do I need to mention them?.................

It is saddening that people just sit there, and jump the gun, while trading. Trading Success Rules must be followed to enter and exit the trades.

One must read my posts with analysis fully, study the charts attached therewith. Several hours of work is put into these analyses.

IBM Price cycles did not come on the time anticipated to have been triggered, however, one of the time cycles came, which did create a mere 2-3% decline. Here is the copy of my IBM Forecast.



 Do you see any of the price cycles being triggered?
 
Had any of the price levels been triggered, when the time cycle arrived, then IBM must experience a noticeable change in trend.

Monday, December 21, 2009

Forecast For Some Stocks and Stock Market

I am grateful to all you for your consistent appreciation of my work. My goal, is to help as many people, as I can. You can also help others, letting other trader friends benefit from my posts, if you find them useful for yourself.

I am highly obliged to The Almighty, for His Continuous Blessings. Over the weekend, I had discovered another very powerful squaring angle. This angle is different for every stock market and every stock and commodity. As a gratitude to The Almighty, I am sharing the results of this discovery, which I had used on several markets and equities.

Furthermore Visa (symbol: V) has come to my attention. According to my analysis, it has completed its price and time cycles.



Current Market Outlook 12-21

Updated Chart from the December 13, Stock Market Outlook Forecast

Tonight, I shall do analyses of several stocks, which are vulnerable for serious decline.
I would check it before the "market open" tomorrow. 


I am already short RIMM and GLD, with put options.

Friday, December 18, 2009

RIMM - Price and Time Cycle Complete - ALERT - Update

In my Forecast Analysis, I stated, "Swing low of 11/2/09 squares out at a price of ($70.05 and/or) $71.6"
Thanks to The Almighty, my forecast is coming to bear. High of the Day was $71.60




Thursday, December 17, 2009

RIMM - Price and Time Cycle Complete - ALERT

One of my best friends has repeatedly requested to analyze the Blackberry maker RIMM.  Today, with the Blessing of The Almighty, I shall analyze RIMM.
It is the Blessing of The All Knower, that I am able to foresee and forecast Financial Markets and Stock Markets patterns.  This does not make me anything but a learner and Knowledge Seeker.
Research in Motion, symbol, RIMM, has completed its Price and Time Cycles.  It is therefore, ready for a notable correction.
Swing low of 11/2/09 squares out at a price of ($70.05 and/or) $71.6.
8/23/09 to Low of 11/2/09, Price-Time Vector value is 43.875 or 52.355 if c-days are counted.
7/8th level of Price-Time Vector is 38.39 or 7/8th level for c-day PTV value is 45.81 (1/8th of the circle)
If I take the squared price level of $71.6, then the above stated Price-Time Vector at this price and 12/18, are approximately equivalent to levels of 38.39 and 45.81 approximately.
9/23/09 high to 11/2/09 t days are 28 and a Fibonacci extension of t-days are 35.61 days, which is also approximately 1/10th of circle.
Low of 11/2/2009 to 12/18/09 is 45 calendar days, which is also 1/8 of the circle.
Furthermore, the price of low of 11/2/09 squares out at a price of $71.68 and if price peaks a bit above then another price squaring out occurs at $76.36.
If price does tap the ($74.66 and/or) $76.36 level, the Price Time Vector Value
from 11/2/09 to 12/18/09 is equal to 9/23/09 to 11/02/09.
Due to one time cycle, there is possibility that prices may consolidate until 12/21-12/23.  Thus, I shall be watching the price patterns, in hourly time-frame chart, to enter the short position.  Click on the Charts to enlarge)
 
   

Current Financial Markets Outlook UPDATE - Get Ready For Decline - UPDATE

O' Lord, Thank You for Giving Me the Ability To Help and Guide Others!!




Stock Market Forecast on 12-16 and its result on 12-17

Wednesday, December 16, 2009

Current Financial Markets Outlook UPDATE - Get Ready For Decline

Very Strong Time Cycles coming in on Dec 17, 2009.

The Bearish outlook, that I had issued a few days, shall be triggered by these time cycles. Prices have struggled to go higher, but could not. Price cycles confirmed it yesterday and today that Price cycles have peaked. Having the Price cycles already matured, the time cycles shall create the culmination and top of both cycles. Thus, shall start an unsmiling decline. I am a "seller".

I am grateful to The Almighty for Bestowing upon me the Knowledge and then blessing even more, by enabling me to share and spread to others, who seek and benefit from it.

GOLD Market Forecast Follow Up

On Dec 13, Sunday evening, I stated in post, "As you can see the GLD closed just exactly on the squaring angles line previously drawn on the chart since Dec 02, 2009. Does that mean that we have intermediate support, quite possibly." I further added, "We may consolidate and then head lower. We closed our shorts on Friday."


A confirmation of my assessment came today, Gold was up over $15 today. I am sure everyone had listened to what I was saying. At least every one one was out of short position yesterday, when GLD was teetering with the Friday price levels.


I am so grateful to The Almighty for Blessing me with Knowledge and enabling me to help His Creations.

Tuesday, December 15, 2009

WSJ - MarketWatch Cannot Figure Out Why Gold Is Not Moving Higher

Today MarketWatch headline says, Gold down move is mystery. Hmm!, they don't know that Time and Price Cycles once squared, shall cause a serious decline.!!!!

IBM Price and Time Cycle Squaring Complete. Get Ready For Correction

I selected a blue chip stock for price and time cycle analysis and forecast.

1. IBM is completing Price-Time Vector 14/8th cycle of the Price-Time Vector from 08 high to 11/21 low
2.  IBM low price from the Nov 21, 08 is squaring at about $133.96

3. Price Time Vector value is also approximately equal to the total number of c-days since Nov 08 low.
4. Total number of t-day from Nov 08 low is equal to 323.6% of t-days from '08 high to Nov '08 low.
5. 261.8% of the Price-Time Vector is equal to total number of t-days from its Nov '08 low.
6. Extension wave of 11/21-02/06 is approaching @ important level 14/8th of $131.25-131.98
7. Extension wave of  11/21-06/11 is approaching @ important level 6/8th of $130.37 -130.79
8. Another very important squaring in time and price level @ $133.96
9. One Price and Time squaring cycle coming in around Dec 17. Very strong squaring time cycle coming in on Dec 23-24.
10. On 12-14, IBM got one of the price level got squared.

Based upon the confluence of time and price cycles, I am anticipating a very serious decline in IBM setting it first foot print within next few days.

Sunday, December 13, 2009

GOLD Commodity Market Forecast Follow Up

As you can see the GLD closed just exactly on the squaring angles line previously drawn on the chart since Dec 02, 2009. Does that mean that we have intermediate support, quite possibly.

We may consolidate and then head lower. We closed our shorts on Friday. We can enter short again, based upon the price action and previously I had stated the further down target. Click on the charts to enlarge.

GLD Wkly Chart Squaring Time & Price
I am adding another chart with one more mathematical and geometrical perspective of GLD. It is GLD chart with arcs. Arc is a very powerful predictive tool. It can be used very handsomely to pinpoint price and time turns in a market trend, if chart is scaled properly. Arcs, reveal more information than several other time and price cycle tools.  Horizontal and vertical lines can be drawn from the edges of the arcs to get the price level support and resistance. Vertical lines drawn, where arc ends, usually results in a drastic price move. See here.

What Was Value of MY Gold Commodity Markets Forecast Part 3

As I say that best trade is when a trade sets up and presents itself in our lap. Gold Commodity Market trade was the best example for one of those trades.

When we, as a trader learn to have patience in our trading business, we become a very successful stock market and or commodity market trader. Patience is a virtue, we have been taught that, since we were kids. But, in my opinion, its (one of the best and most valuable) test comes in the business of trading (or investing). A trader must exhibit patience to enter the trade and once the entry in a trade has been made, then trader must also have patience to let the profit run, while keeping the protection of the profits in the trade, locked in.

Let's review, how my Gold Commodity Market Forecast, had turned out to, since I predicted a serious correction in the Gold commodity market was imminent.


I had issued a Gold commodity forecast on 12-02-09 and predicted that once GLD tops out on 12-03, then Gold commodity market would start a noticeable correction.

Now for the review of the forecast, I have to use a language to be in compliance with the laws. Therefore, hypothetically, a put option bought on 12-03-09, GLD Dec 2009 114 @ approximately $0.85 per contract would have cost a merely $85.00. It closed on 12-11-09 at the last price of $4.90, but it traded as high as on Friday before the close $5.35. One could have closed the contract easily at $5.00, but I shall be conservative and considering the emotional dilema facing a trader, not knowing when to close, and therefore, closed the contract at $4.85. It netted a profit of $400 per contract. If one had invested $850 for 10 contract, the profit would have $4,000 or an investment of $8,500 would have yielded a whopping profit of $40,000 in less than 10 days. This is over 470% profit in 10 days or 16,470% annulized return on the investment. IT BEATS ALL Those Newsletters solicitation EMAILS, YOU RECEIVE FOR THE SOLICITATION OF NEWSLETTER, WHICH COST AS MUCH AS $2,500 PER QUARTER (e.g., Louis Navellier and many more)......!!!!

Could we double or tripple our trading account in short period of time?

Yes, it IS quite doable!!!!

See the chain of other GLD Dec 2009 contract strike prices to the left and calculate the profit potential at the buy point prices of different strike price levels for GLD Dec 2009 put options contract in 12-06-09, 3.32 PM post.

If some trader was conservative and closed his or her postion every day or next day, then still the return of the profit exceeded over 300% due to my Gold Market Forecast. See the examples below.


Then we look at more conservatively with GLD Jan 2010 Puts options
 and another day on 12-11-09


If one runs the number and do the calculation, it is easily determined that without trading every day and on alternate days, one hypothetically would have profited over 300% and still have the sanity.
GLD Jan 2010 Put Options Chain (above)
(Click on the charts to enlarge)
Read Stock Markets Outlook below..........