Friday, July 8, 2011

Stock Markets Forecast 7-7-11 - ALERT

I commence with my gratitude to The Ultimate Knower

Since the real start date of the rally (after it cleared the resistance of 06/21), the strength of the move up was breathtaking, and bothersome to me (in the absence of the volume of big buyers). Since July 5 (it has been 3 days) and today gap above the 5/31 or 6/01 high, forced me to go back and check on my notes of the dominant time cycles for the stock market. The underlying strength of price move (though not obvious from technical indicators, like volumes or sentiments) was trying to bring my attention to check up on longer term time cycles, as smaller time cycles are superseded by the strength of longer time cycles. Which can only be learned by (re-)viewing the history. History and time cycle generated by the previous history creates the current behavior of the financial markets.
Prudent traders ought to always re-evaluate their positions and stances, if a situation calls for it.
Stock Market time cycle analyses and forecast 7-7-11
07/08 is the "line in the sand". ....
If the market continues to trend higher after 07/08 (which it will, deducted after my re-study of longer term time cycles earlier today), and "around" the 07/08 time cycle, if markets only consolidate and or retrace only a little, then my today's review of history, tells me that time cycles have "reset" the count of the bull market. The time cycles have done, what they do best, change the trend. That means, June 16h low was real trigger for this change of trend. If I am correct in the assumption then bear market 'serious leg down' has been averted for now (recent correction was merely a correction to set the stage for new run up in prices), and new bull market has started as of the retest of the swing lows on 06/23.
Future Outlook: Markets shall find some considerable resistance on 07/18, followed by time cycles of 8/04, 08/22 (8/30). Markets, however, shall continue to trend higher until 09/12-13, followed by a double top (lower or similar height) in first week of October and then the Sever correction extended over 8-9 months (which I was waiting to transpire now), and followed by another leg up into early 2013.

Stock Markets - Very IMPORTANT ALERT!

I commence with my gratitude to The All-Knower

I have conducted an in-depth analyses of the financial markets. Which reveals an important turning point and change in the underlying time cycles, into the stock markets (of the world).  Stay tuned..... and revisit in few hours.

Thursday, July 7, 2011

Some Stocks to Look at - (a peek inside my trading room) - SINA

I commence with my gratitude to The All-Knower

SINA has completed a certain time and price cycle, based upon which, I believe it is ready to tumble. Short and or Puts are prudent strategy, with stop at HOD or @ $118.50.

Crude Oil Forecast of 6-30-11 UPDATE

Crude Oil Forecast of 6-30-11
Crude Oil Forecast of 6-6-11
I commence with my gratitude to The All-Knower

It gives me great pleasure to report that Crude Oil Forecasting Subscription has done great job again. (beside the failure at the recent 4 days run up in the markets :-) .. Click on the picture to enlarge.
Please send your inquiries about the Forecasting Subscription to Trade.N.Harmony@gmail.com

Crude Oil Forecast results

Wednesday, July 6, 2011

Stock Market Time Cycle Update

I commence with my gratitude to The Ultimate All-Knower

Stock Market Time Cycle &
Price/Time Vector
US Stock Markets (and other markets in the world) are literally on borrowed time and price, floating on thin air balloon. If it does try to float higher and does not turn now, then One THING IS GUARANTEED that decline shall get even worse, once it starts to turn lower. Law of Physics, cannot be violated for long. Once broken loose, and independent, then reaction is similar or stronger than the precursor action.
Best place to short the market, is now.
If history has any relevance (which IMHO, does dictate the future behavior of human, thus resultantly, the financial markets, we invest in), potential impeding decline shall be phenomenal, once the price level of 06/16 is broken. Bull market trend has been over-balanced in price and time, see the picture attached here.

If you browse the chart., each time correction prolonged in price and time. Each number on the bull-run or correction is price/time vector.  the other numbers are trading days between swings. As you see the correction got sever on every bull-run, however bull run remained the same in the length of time, however, it did extend according to Fib. numbers.

After the 61.8 price/vector leg up till Feb/18, market dropped and then moved higher in ABC wave, marking a top on 05/02. Price time vector was 35 which was exceeded by the recent correction from 05/02 to 06/16. Not only the correction exceeded the recent leg up (or wave 5 for Elliottians ), but it also exceeded the leg down from 02/18 to 03/16 in price and time both, as shown by the price/time vector.

Rule of trend determination: Once a correction exceeds all previous corrections of the bull market, then trend is changed. The height of the rally after the first impulse down, is the best and safest place to "Sell".
Maximum time, allowed for this rally is until Friday 07/08/11.....

Some Stocks to Look at - (a peek inside my trading room) - LULU,

I commence with my gratitude to The Ultimate Knower

LULU, has completed a certain price cycle, from which it has declined before, therefore, if history stands correct then, LULU is very highly likely to retrace, a good short trade. July $115 or Aug $105 could be a way to do it.

Stock Markets Forecast of Time Cycle 07/01-07/04/11 - ALERT

I commence with my gratitude to The Ultimate Knower

Decline and reversal of the uptrend, has started!!

Crude Oil Forecast of 07-1-11

I commence with my gratitude to The Ultimate Knower
Crude Oil Forecast 6-30-11
How to make $5,000 per week easily
with Crude Oil Forecasting Service
  • 07/01 time cycle was stronger than 07/03 time cycle, as expected, "Used the word HARSH ONE"
  • 07/03 time cycle reversal,  created only a small reversal consisting of about $1.00. It was clear and easy trade to scalp $1.00 or $1,000 per contract. Crude stopped at the previous price resistance level, when it lined up with 07/03 time cycle. 
  • Price reversal levels of 07/01 time cycle, never came under attack. Once the 07/03 time cycle's affects faded away, Crude shot higher.
  • Crude has gone finally to my forecasted level of $97.00+ from the long trade entry was @ $93.95.
  • It was $4.00 trade. The diagonal downward trend line parallel drawn at point B gave support, plus the previous horizontal support.

Tuesday, July 5, 2011

Gold and Silver Forecasts Update

I commence with my gratitude to The All-Knower

Below is the outline, what was said to the subscribers and what had transpired since then.
First to underscore the importance of the time cycle, a pre-alert was issued.
Then Weekly Forecast was pre-released.
Gold dropped to $1,478 on 07/01, according to the forecast and to the forecasted levels.
Gold has galloped $35 since its low of $1,478.25 on 07/01 and $22 since its low on 07/03-07/04
Silver moved 5.5+% since its low on 07/01 or its low on 07/03-07/04


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Sunday, July 3, 2011

Happy independence Day

HAPPY 4th of July!
I wish and pray that we could keep the true spirits ("the independence") of the day alive, which are being taken away from the people of the land, just by a small group of people! Otherwise, very soon, the "Happy" will start fading away!!