Friday, September 9, 2011

Stock Markets Forecast of 09/07/11 UPDATE

I commence with my gratitude to The Creator

When stock markets were rising on 09/07, I had sent out n alert that the rise of the market is done now and it WILL a reason to trend down from then. Turned down, did occur, as a matter of fact, that day was the high of the recent swing. Market next day closed lower and today all markets around the world are sharply down. Markets are down 2-4.5% all across the world's major exchanges.

News could have come from anywhere. It is the time cycles which rule the financial markets. Once again forecast came to the fruition.

Wednesday, September 7, 2011

Stock Market Forecast 9-7-11

Market Forecast 9-7-11 -
Chart Hrly IWM - 
I commence with my gratitude to The Creator

Since my last forecast of the stock markets, markets have dropped fast around the world. However, since yesterday, markets are experiencing a reactionary rally. Which is a natural process.
Market Forecast 9-7-11 SPY

Markets have risen into the price levels, which offer resistance and today and tomorrow are the CIT, turn dates. Therefore, markets shall find reason to turn down from here. Furthermore, it seems that market potentially is making a H&S pattern.

Stops are just above the HOD (high of the day).

Fall of An Empire - Height of Crookedness Among US Financial System

I commence with my gratitude to The Creator

In the past, I have published my concern that why US is loosing her status of World superpower and I believe that it has already lost it. It has been challenged in any serious way yet, economically and otherwise.

Why $200bn in US trades are failing each day. According to a report published in Financial Times, yesterday. Please read the quotes from the Financial Times report.

"$200 billions" is a big number. Yet it is also the number of trades failing to settle on average per day in the US market. The equivalent figure for Europe is unknown – highlighting what some say is a worrying hole in the back office of the world’s financial system.
Such so-called settlement fails – where one market party fails to deliver the security or cash it had promised to send to another entity within a specific time frame – rarely garner much attention outside of the back offices of banks and investment firms.

But a gradual spike in failures over recent months in crucial liquidity markets such as “repo” is raising concerns among some market participants.

This persistence of settlement fails, despite US government actions to deter them, has led some commentators to conclude that banks might be purposefully failing the trades as a way of dealing with financial stress. The concern is that continued high failures could cause instability in the plumbing of the world’s financial system, and sow confusion over who really owns which assets.

“Trade settlement is what converts market liquidity into actual cash liquidity for firms and capital markets,” says Fred Sommers, a back office specialist at consulting firm Basis Point Group. “You wouldn’t buy a house and show up on closing day, take title, rent out the house and collect the rent, all before paying. Yet that’s what’s happening every day in the financial system.”
Settlement fails are a particular issue for the world’s repo markets, where banks borrow trillions of dollars each day through pledges to sell securities such as US Treasuries or mortgage debt in return for cash, and then “repurchase” these assets back at a later date. A typical “repo agreement” could see a large bank sell a portfolio of US government bonds worth millions of dollars, with a promise to buy the portfolio back in a week’s time. The initial buyer of the securities effectively acts as a lender to the seller.

A “fail to deliver” can happen if the seller does not hand over the assets to the purchaser in the agreed time frame, or vice versa.

The occurrence may sound rare, and likely to annoy those doing business with the bank in question, but it is a relatively regular market convention.

Gold and Silver Forecast Update

I commence with my gratitude to The Creator Gold is reaching towards strong support $1,790 (+/-$6) area which launched it's recent rally. Watch for it's support there. Although I believe it ought to offer strong support. And shall trigger rally.  However, Beware, Failure at these levels could trigger strong sell off. 

Tuesday, September 6, 2011

Gold and Silver Commodities Forecast Update

I commence with my gratitude to The Creator
Gold Forecast 09-06-11

I had alerted the subscribers to my elite subscription service to watch out for the hours of 1-4 am (NYC time) for reversal and strong move thereafter. So we got the reversal and fast one and came along the big moves,.

Gold did find the reversal in the time zone, as predicted in the weekly forecast and had dropped over $45 since then, and had experience strong big moves.

Gold Forecast 09-06-11
Please see the updated chart
Current levels of $1,870's ought to offer support, thus another long entry. However, failure at the level of $1,876 area, shall lead gold lower to the $1,836-$1844 area.

See the Forecast made earlier
SEE another chart, where it shows the upward channel. Finding support here and then bounce above the upper band, shall lead strong and VERY STRONG RALLY

$1,836 - $1,844 is strong support area, it must not be broken.

If gold pulls back to the test this area of support, then it is a good entry to go long again, with stop just below it.

Monday, September 5, 2011

Gold and Silver Markets Forecast Dated 08/29/11 Update

I commence with my gratitude to The Creator

On 08/29, my gold forecast stated that $1,795 is an important level, rather, it was named "line in the sand". Failure at level would have been devastating. and Support at the said level, once achieved, was foreseen and forecasted as to have given a "springboard" to the Gold Commodity to get another boost of energy and thus buying. There wasn't any news at that time, just the importance of price cycle and time cycle. Once price had held at the "NHN" Natural Harmonic Number of $1,795 level, and especially within the time cycle of 08/30-09/01, then the rally was expected and the rally we have had in the precious metals.

Now, Gold is ready to eclipse the recent highs at $1,919 levels, as stated in my said forecast, "if this level holds, then gold shall lead higher than recent highs."


NExt price resistance levels shall be published in future posts, but they are not very near. ;-)