Showing posts with label Market Forecast. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Market Forecast. Show all posts

Tuesday, January 25, 2011

Financial Market Forecast 1-25-11 11:00 AM PST

I commence with my gratitude to The Ultimate All-Knower

Market was set off to go down since yesterday, by time cycle geometric line. Based upon that we get a price target of tomorrow (possible today) and going to test the 1274-1275 level of SPX.

Saturday, January 15, 2011

Financial Market Forecast 1-15-2011 and Respected Teacher, W.D. Gann

I commence with my gratitude to The Creator, The Ultimate All-Knower

Recently I posted couple of charts, using 60 and 70 year longer time cycles and showed the possibilities of potential time cycles and turn dates purely based upon simple repetition of said previous cycles.

Nevertheless, said charts were just part of my research. I was working on other related researches relating to longer term time cycles, which might have an impact on the current Financial Markets.

I have a copy of annual forecast made by Mr. W.D. Gann for year 1929. I was attempting to discover the basis of his forecast, thus trying to explore anything new, that I could learn. During this research, I noticed that where Mr Gann, had successfully called several market reversal dates, but he had missed many. Though surprising to many to have discovered that the legendary trader and forecaster like Mr. Gann, could miss some market turns. It is also known fact to all prudent and experienced traders, that it is not an anomaly to miss some time cycle turns, even by the master forecaster, either from the past or of the present time. Nevertheless, one thing is evidently clear that I am merely a student of the markets and I have learned from many teachers, including and especially Mr. W.D. Gann. Therefore, I pay great regards, to my teachers, including Mr Gann. As a matter of facts, many of my techniques, are derived and learned after reading his material and books. I enclosed herein chart prepared by (and in) Mr. Gann forecast and bottom portion of that same picture is my chart, with turn dates generated by my two time cycle systems.

Now going back to my research, I used my geometrical time cycles generator to arrive at future turn dates for 1929 and 1930, as if I were present in December 1928. Then, I also added my another time cycle patterns, which repeat after certain intervals and the derivative of 4 longer term cycles. The second indicator shows that, whenever the cycles converge, a change in trend is created. It is interesting to note that both of my systems were able to pinpoint major, intermediate and minor turns of 1929.


I am also attaching here the result of my geometrical time cycle generator for potential swing date in the immediate near future.

Based upon similar techniques, as shown herein on the charts, I expect a market reversal on 01/21-01/22 and I'm watching SPX price level 1,330-32, if it arrives by this date, then, we are going to have a STRONG REVERSAL. There was question posed to me about other resistance level. I am watching 1,300 and 1,320, also.

Thursday, December 9, 2010

Financial Markets Forecast 12-10-10 - A Change in Trend is Due

With my gratitude to The Ultimate All-Knower

There are clustering of time cycles coming in tonight and tomorrow. Markets' Price Cycle are being triggered by the Markets' Time Cycles.

I shall reveal some of my methods of market timing, as I explain it a bit here in the post. Time/Price cycles are being squared as of tomorrow on 12/10/10, as illustrated herein under.

A significant high of August 09th squared at (Fibonacci) 34 degrees angle with the recent high on 12/07 and 12/09th. Low on August 27th creates time/price squaring at Pyramid Sacred Angle and  low on 11/16th creates a time and price cycles squaring to the recent highs on 12/07 and 12/09, at the angle of (Fibonacci) golden ratio (61.8).

I, therefore expect a turn in the markets. I shall looking be for the trend to develop as early as tomorrow. Click on the chart to expand.

Thursday, October 14, 2010

Financial Markets Update 10-14

I commence with my humblest gratitude to The Ultimate All-Knower

Are the marketa having a reversal today?
Well, markets have extended their rally beyond the important time cycles of last week. They are over-extended rather on a borrowed time. We have a time cycle date ingress tomorrow. When the markets are overextended as they are right now then the time cycle can influence a day earlier as well due to the markets' vulnerability of prices.
We are looking for an engulfing reversal bar or some kind of doji, preferably a hanging man, hammer or inverted hammer in the market prices to confirm my forecasted time cycle reversal due tomorrow. Moreover, we are just shot away from double top of many markets. Double top doesn't have to be at exact same price levels, it could be a lower double top and in several important and intermediate to longterm tops were lower double top on the right side of the chart, for example NASDAQ Lower double top in late 2007 and Aug 2008. QQQQ is already reached the April 26th high (this date was forecasted by me also, before it occured). So, be prepared......

Wednesday, October 13, 2010

Financial Markets Forecasts Update

I begin with my humblest gratitude to My Creator, The Most Gracious for the blessing of knowledge and then bestowing the ability to share

I was just walking in the garden of my (new) residence, while gardner was working in it and when I saw him trimming at the top of privacy hedges, a picture of the markets flashed in those hedges and a flash of memory came.

Do you remember my analaysis and forecast at the beginning of the year? I forecasted that year 2010 shall be like year 2004, i.e., it would a year of no return, if you are a longterm investor. We would experience a double top in the later part of the year, with the high at the dawn of the year. See the picture, I posted at the dawn of Year 2010. Click on the chart to see the prediction and click on the link to visit the older post.

Financial Market Update

I commence with my humblest gratitude to The All-Knower, The One Who Is The Greatest

Trading with the frame of mind of "Expect the Unexpected", always been helpful to make me a successful trader, whenever I had the pleasure and blessings of being so, the opposite has been true in the cases, when I wasn't and had the ego of not accepting the Unexpected.

The time and price cycles were in place and could only create the congestion and sideways price move within markets (which lasted in some markets for about a week), thus creating an inversion of the cycles.

If the markets continue to go higher (which seems likely), we may continue this trend into next of my time cycles turn date of 10/15/10, then beyond that I have 11/6, 11/11, 11/18, which coincides with spiral date of 11/19.

I still don't have the luxury of internet at my home-office, it's scheduled for 10/15. Therefore, I can't do any in-depth analysis or charting. (iPhone is very handy for situation like these)

Monday, October 11, 2010

Financial Markets Forecast 10-10-10

I commence with my humblest gratitude to The Most Benevolent

In the new home, along with settling after the new move, which includes unpacking, there are always challenges of getting utilities set up. Thus far, minor complication or delays have arisen in the installation of Internet and landline (telephone). Regardless of all the process of move, I'm highly indebted to My Creator for His Countless Blessings.

iPhone comes handy at these time. I'm posting it with my iPhone.

Markets, though, seem to show resilience. Nevertheless, a reversal is over due. There is a discovery that I made, which I name NHN (Natural Harmonic Number). According to one of its aspects, reversal is due also. For example all the major indices are battling with the resistance offered by the DJI's 11,000, NASDAQ's 2,400 and S&P's 1,162, 1,166, 1,168.
Therefore, time cycles, price cycles, and cycles of NHN, all are calling for a reversal.

Wednesday, October 6, 2010

Financial Markets Outlook

I commence with my humblest gratitude to The Most Benevolent, The Ultimate All-Knowing

As I have stated in several of my posts, nothing is new under the Sun. It is up to us that we look for similar patterns in the past, to deduct the pending conclusion.

One of the most dominant time cycles of the financial markets is coming in on October 8 (+/-2). Financial Markets have been struggling to go higher and been stuck in the range for about a week. Would this time cycle create a change in the trend, which has been since August 30th and or July 1st in some markets? This cycle has created a longterm reversal in the trend before, it has the potency to do it again, as the price cycles have been setting the stage up for it.

Friday, October 1, 2010

Financial Markets Forecast 10-01-10 Update

I commence with my humblest gratitude to The Most Benevolent, The Ultimate All-Knower

If you have been reading my posts from last few weeks, you would have clearly been fore-warned several times about several time cycles coming in on September 29/30 (+/-1). My forecast stands the same, as price cycles are completed, so are the time cycles. What does that mean = Reversal and or Correction

Monday, September 20, 2010

Financial Market Analysis and Forecast 09-19-10

I commence with my humblest gratitude to The Most Benevolent, The Ultimate All-Knower

Last week, powerful times cycles kept the markets under-controlled, although, could not push it lower. Usually when the time cycles fail to create a reversal, and instead the markets continue on the previous prevailing trend, the cyclists call it as inversion. Oddly enough we did not have the inversion either. Most of the indices, I track, their advances have been checked such as financial, S&P. Russell 2K and Dow Jones Transportation. Just NASDAQ have been able to eked out minuscule gains on weekly basis (due to ORCL).
We have very strong time cycle ingress during the weekend and another very important time cycle on September 21s. Therefore, markets might look for another day of sideways move (up and down and up or vice versa during one day and ending within the same range of the previous day) or some negligible gain. Then I am buckled up for the strong reversal. ( Remain prepared to go short, starting Monday, but I might wait until Tuesday)

Caveat: (though, small probability) Expect the Unexpected: If we don't have the reversal on 9-21/9-22, then we have an inversion at our hand and markets ought to rocket higher and next turn time cycle date is September 29. 

Monday, September 13, 2010

Market Outlook 09-13 Update - ALERT

I commence with my humblest gratitude to The Most Benevolent The Ultimate All-Knowing

Based upon the financial markets' today's closing prices, I think that tomorrow (or even today) would be the intermediate top.

Market Outlook 09-13

I commence with my humblest gratitude to The Most Benevolent, The Ultimate All-Knower

All three indices have been struggling with the 200-MA. SPX and NASAQ attempt at 200-MA shall be rejected, as it is coming within the time cycle band.

The coming week contains  time cycle strongly correlated with reversal in the trend. Plus we have certain time cycles related with strong and wide price swings. Therefore, if we have up move at the open, then we shall be watching out for sharp retracement, filling in the gaps and price swings full of dizziness. If you are not able to withstand such surprise moves, then best advice, stay in cash and away from the markets. However, those traders with emotional balance, and trading systems rules of entry and more importantly the exits (see my posts of how to enter and exit the trades), shall be able to avail the sweet and profitable trading opportunities.

Thursday, September 9, 2010

Market Outlook 09-09-10 UPDATE @ 10.10 AM PST - ALERT

I commence with my humblest gratitude to The Most Benevolent, The Ultimate All-Knower

I think the NHN energy has been triggered, powered by the lunar cycle. Therefore, I took some short positions earlier.

Market Outlook 09-09-10

I commence with my humblest gratitude to The Most Benevolent, The Ultimate All-Knowing

The successful trader enters and exits the trade with a plan and potential high reward/low risk. Armed with the knowledge of time and price cycles, a trader can multiply the probability of the success of a trade, as compared to just a usual price-responsive trader.

As previously stated in the August 31 and September 01 forecasts, that due to the clustering of the multiple intermediate and short term, time cycles, it ought to create a "Change in Trend" and thus Reversal in the Financial Markets' Trend preceding these time cycles. (Please see the previous forecasts' charts)
Although, one has to keep in the mind the larger time cycles. However, rule of squaring of time and price cycles requires that if the larger time cycles have to manifest their strength (of CIT), a balancing of time and price has to have occurred before such manifestation.

Though, the long term trend is bearish and down, Markets sometime tend to confuse the traders and shake out the last of the buyers, before they could decidedly trend lower and break the previous low.

What does that mean: If the markets violate the pattern as indicated in the chart, then the markets shall try to create a lower double top and still fulfill my "forecast of serious decline", as the said forecast was based upon the April 26th Time Cycle top of year 2010.
Pre-requisite for such advance: Market must violate and then test the pattern (and stay closed above the level of pink circle) just shown in the chart herein above. During such advance, there shall be other time cycles creating retracements on its way above,of which I shall do my best, to keep you abreast of.

Tuesday, September 7, 2010

Market Forecast 09-07-10

I commence with my humblest gratitude to The Most Benevolent, The Ultimate All-Knowing of all hidden and obvious known, past, present and future

Remember the following chart
We have reached that price level (so indicated on the chart) and even went passed it by a little "lost motion" amount, under the Mercury Retrograde influence  making people think that oh! oh!, forget about all the bad news, we are going higher and higher, all this doom talkers have no validity..............). (fast quick rally, (predicted on the chart and the August 31st and September 1st forecasts, as well, please see the chart below, previously shown on 08-31)
The Friday's price cycle came within the time band of 09-3rd time cycle and another time cycles coming after today close and tomorrow (September 08th). That means that we have a time cycle band average focusing on and during the long weekend time, when the US markets were closed. Thus we may have triggered the reversal CIT over the weekend. 
I, therefore, shall be watching and looking out for reversal starting from September 07 open, to go short.

Thursday, September 2, 2010

Market Forecast - Time Cycles coming in on Sept 3rd - Change in Trend is Expected

I commence with my humblest gratitude to The Most Benevolent, The Ultimate All-Knower for the gifts of knowledge and ability to share.

Time Cycles Ingress on September 3rd - Shall Create a CIT:
There are 3 time cycles, coming in on September 3rd. I expect them to create a Change in Trend. Thus, I shall be watching 30min and 60min charts for the clues, from the midday of today.

Wednesday, September 1, 2010

Market Forecast - 08-31-10, After the Close of Markets

I commence with my humblest gratitude to The Most Benevolent, The Ultimate All-Knower for the gift of knowledge and ability to share

Time Cycles Squaring and Clustering, A Strong Move is Expected:
Market has been stuck for last few days within very tight price range. IT is caused by the squaring and clustering of (several) intermediate and small time cycles, and thus failure of price to move in either direction for last Five (05) trading days, has accumulated the built-up momentum inside the price. Therefore, a strong price move is expected. I have posted a chart for prudent entries for long or short, both have not been triggered yet. I am expecting an entry to be triggered on September 1st, based upon the Completion of Time Cycles Squaring and Clustering. (Please click on the chart to enlarge)

Tuesday, August 31, 2010

Market Outlook - ALERT 08-31-10 Update @ 11.40 PST

With my humblest gratitude to The Most Benevolent, The Ultimate All-Knower

Markets are showing inherit weakness, pursuant to the long term forecast, as previously published. Bigger time cycles are ruling the markets.

Market Outlook - ALERT 08-31-10

I commence with my humblest gratitude to The Most Benevolent, The Ultimate All-Knower

Today is the last day of month, there has to be short covering, thus it may create a reversal pattern, whether a "fake" one or real one. Tomorrow price action shall tell. For now, it is prudent to watch these level to enter short or long

Current Market Outlook - Get Ready for The Decline, I have been Warning about!! - Update 08-30-10

I commence with my humblest gratitude to The Most Benevolent, The Ultimate All-Knower

That was the headline of the forecast dated August 10th, 2010. Since then, we had declined over 700 points in the Dow and 90 points in the SPX, and 210 point in the NASDAQ. In the said forecast, I stated that we have a serious decline at our hand.

One of the favorite charts, W.D. Gann used, is the Weekly Chart. It clears the noise from the daily gyration and it is rather the 2nd most helpful chart in determination of the trend, if not the best one. Let's see the update of the markets with the help of the weekly charts.