Reversal Pattern - Butterfly Pattern

Market Reversal Butterfly Pattern 8-3-11

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When a market makes a double bottom, in form of Gartley or Butterfly pattern, then markets are poised to run to the opposite direction with greatest probability.

Butterfly pattern is when market retraces to 'C', at least 61.8% (or 78.6%) of 'AB' and then rallies and makes a lower high and then drops again and this drop to point 'E' and it is extended up to the 127.2% retracement of 'AB' and it must also coincides with at least 161.8% - 223.6% retracement of 'CD' wave and at least 200% - 223.6% expansion of BC

Learning How to Trade Commodities and Stock Markets

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"Only one who devotes himself to a cause with his whole strength and soul can be a true master. For this reason, mastery demands all of a person." .... Albert Einstein.

I get quite a few inquiries, as how to trade. I try to help others in several ways, and to those, who are in need and want to trade with little trading capital. Then I discover that it shall be hard for me to help. Why?.... The reason is that..., how can I help someone with my FREE Forecasting Subscription Service, if they do not know, how to benefit from it.

Therefore, it is my humble request, that those of you, who really want to learn about trading and become better at it, spend serious time in learning. There are many sources available. I, however, endorse one source, because I have tried them myself. There is plethora of knowledge available from famous writers, market experts, and analysts in form of streaming video seminars. You can view them at your convenience at any place, home, office, or some other place, at a computer.

There is Blue Banner playing just above at the top of the site. Click on it and you shall be directed to browse at least 4 online lengthy seminars. Try it and see if you like. Membership is hundred times less than your loss on your one trade. Once again, I repeat the words of the legend, "Only one who devotes himself to a cause with his whole strength and soul can be a true master. For this reason mastery demands all of a person"

Biggest Names in the Market Make Mistakes

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Biggest names, who have earned their names, by being the best forecasters of the market, are humbled by the market.

In 2008, Buffett bought a large stake in the stock of Conoco Phillips as a play on future energy prices. However, this turned out to be a bad investment, because Buffett bought in at too high of a price, resulting in a multibillion-dollar loss to Berkshire.

In 1993, Buffett bought a shoe company called Dexter Shoes. Buffett's investment in Dexter Shoes turned into a disaster because he saw a durable competitive advantage in Dexter that quickly disappeared. According to Buffett, "What I had assessed as durable competitive advantage vanished within a few years." Buffett claims that this investment was the worst he has ever made, resulting in a loss to shareholders of $3.5 billion.

Since Muddy Waters fired its opening salvo in early June, Sino-Forest’s shares have plunged 87%, wiping out $4 billion in shareholder value and scaring off heavyweight investors such as John Paulson, whose hedge fund, Paulson & Co., took a $574 million loss when it bailed out of the stock last week.

Lessons Learned: Must know, when to quit. Not quitting the wrong stance, is the only factor which have always plundered the wealth of many.

Markets Act in Predictable Manner

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In my previous post published below, I used the word fractals and got a few inquires, as what is fractals.
Please see sources to read more here

http://classes.yale.edu/fractals/
http://www.fractal.org/Bewustzijns-Besturings-Model/Fractals-Useful-Beauty.htm
http://www.miqel.com/fractals_math_patterns/visual-math-natural-fractals.html

If you would like to learn how to better your trading, Then click on the blue banner just above, where you would be able to see Four FREE educational Seminars conducted by good authors. Then you can watch thousands more seminars at a nominal costs. 

Markets Act in Predictable Manner

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Markets Act in Predictable Manner and in relationship with its previous moves.
In one of my recent Crude Oil Forecasts, I have predicted a price target level of $94.00. Yesterday, Crude Oil went into a resistance level, (which I was watching $99.8-100) and then sold off. That was Not the only reason of sell-off. Market works in fractals and channels, which creates a vibration resonance in the future. I had added and highlighted the yesterday's price vibration line with "red color" line. When it was extended, it reached the price of $99.80-$100.00 (within the range of different prices at different exchanges or brokers), sold off. See below. I have explained some of the tools and techniques, I use to ascertain prices and time. Click on the top 2 pictures, from yesterday and left bottom picture from today.

Crude Oil Forecast 6-13-11 UPDATE

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How to trade with Time Cycle and Using Technical and Some Common Sense.

See the June 13th swing low aligned with Time Cycle prediction. See the attached pic. of the forecast, previously posted here as well!

For following illustration, See the Chart titled "Crude Oil Forecast 6-13-11 i"

• On June 13th, Crude Oil dropped to 96.14 level. $96.00 level was forecasted as support in forecast, see my previous forecasts.
• For 10 hours crude did not break this level. and then it broke out the 10 hours downward trend-line
• Point "1", Crude Oil made a spike low and reversed within same 10 minute bar to the half of the bar.
• Point "1", next 2 bars engulfed the spike low bard.
• Point "1", the 3rd and 4th bar did the retest of the low made the spike low bar.
• Point "2" This was a clear entry for long trade at break of this down-ward trend-line
• Point "2a", was an aggressive entry, and the least risky long entry was to enter the long trade at the retest of the spike low bar 50%. 3rd green bar after the successful retest of the spike low
• Point "1" and Point "2a" are being formed on CIT, trend change date.
• Market has dropped into the time cycle.
• Market has been declining since June 9th, for last 4 days.
• Therefore, it was an obvious swing low aligned technically with time cycle. Thus a very profitable and the least risky entry for a long trade.
• Trade entries were either at point 1, as illustrated above, or at point 2 or finally on point 3
• Trade entries were $96.50, $96.70 or $96.60 accordingly, all with stop at $96.10
• Once you are in the trade, then money management was watching your stop
• Then once, the trade cleared the resistance of Point A, then stop should have been moved to Point B, once trade went beyond the pink line at Point B resistance/support.
• After the trade has been successful, then monitoring the trade according to the hourly chart is the prudent strategy. See the hourly chart attached here.

Secrets of Success

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Belief in oneself is one of the most important bricks in building any successful venture. A successful person is the one who can lay a firm foundation with the bricks others have thrown at him. Action is the foundational key to all success.
Failure is success if we learn from it. Remember that defeat is not the worst of failures, not to have tried is the true failure.
I would like to share a beautiful video by Will Smith. Do watch it!

Invaluable Subscriptions FREE - If You Qualify

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I have been publishing my forecasts for many years and I am highly obliged to and blessed by My Creator with the Knowledge and then even blessed with the ability to share with His people.

I get a lot - I mean a lot of inquiries about my forecasting subscriptions about Gold, Silver and Crude Oil and Stocks. Many are used to getting the worthless (I say humbly, as I have wasted my money in the past on these too) subscription for FREE trials. Therefore, they do not sign up. I DON'T offer FREE trials, as I know the worth of the subscriptions. As a matter of fact, I am charging a very low rate, according to the success rate of subscriptions. One trade from last week would have paid for the whole year of the subscriptions, a nice family vacation and then still have left thousands of dollars for you. Any way, my subscribers know the value, they get.

But there are few who inquire and honestly cannot afford the cost of subscription. For example, one person contacted me from Trancoso, Brazil. That person, would have paid my subscription happily, two years ago. When that person had $200,000 in the trading account. Now the same person is down to $2,000 and is retired and has to support the family, too.

I have asked myself, if I am really serious about helping people. Therefore, I decided, that the said person is really in need of my help.

Thus, if you are in the similar situation, then you may apply for my one or two week FREE subscriptions. However, you must satisfy the following the conditions.

1. You must testify that your economic conditions are such that you may be classified "poor to low middle class". 
2. You are barely meeting your ends meet and you really need help and you are asking for the help.
3. And you have only $2,500 or less in total trading capital and you do not have any savings or retirement/pension or other assets of any value belonging to your family.
4. Be careful, what you say. Because, if you intentionally mis-state the facts then be ready that you shall not benefit from it and you shall face consequences from the Universe.
5. I am willing to help. However, you must be ready to let your fear and greed leave outside of the door, once your enter my trading room
6. You must give at least $11 (or more, if you can) to a charity of your choice in my name.

Please contact me at Trade.N.Harmony@gmail.come

Compilation of All Forecasts and Posts

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I am very grateful to The Creator, Who Has always Blessed me with His Infinite Love and Blessings. He Has Blessed with the talent, whatever, I may posses, to foresee the financial markets.

I have created a book, which consists of all the forecasts since the inception of this blog-site. I have uploaded it for you to view and download it FREE, Click here on the link to download.

My Gold and Silver Forecasts - (Trade Alert Subscription Service)

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I have alerted the subscribers to my Trade Alert Subscription Service last week that, "Gold and Silver shall be heading higher until into the reversal time zone starting from 2/28. Then the subscribers were alerted yesterday and today about today's highest probable time, (an exact hour was forecasted with exact price for Gold)

Please see attached forecasts from last few weeks. and you can see the results unfolding!!
 If you are interest, then please send an email to Trade.N.Harmony@gmail.com.
We have had similar success with STOCKS ALERTS

Financial Markets - Some Suggested Reading and Learning Materials

With my gratitude to The Most Merciful, The Ultimate All-Knower

I have recently received few private emails, in which I have been asked to recommend some study and reading materials books, which help start the learning process of the Financial Markets and time cycles.
To respond to that,  I have already recommended several books (Please look at the right hand side of my blog. Just browse through the list of my hand-picked books.)
Secondly, Click on the blue link JUST above ........titled "Free Trading Seminars". You shall be prompted to view free live seminars/training and educational videos of each at least 90+ minutes.

I recommend their service. You shall get a great deal of learning, at much better rate by watching educational videos. After watching 4 FREE videos, you can choose the option to continue to learn from a huge library of educational videos.

ONE-ON-ONE PERSONAL Trading Guidance & Mentor-ship Session - RE-OPENS

I commence with my gratitude to The Ultimate All-Knower, The Most Benevolent,

I have been asked several times by many of you, to re-initiate the ONE-ON-ONE PERSONAL Guidance & Mentor-ship. I have done that for several months in 2010. But I had to stop it, because, I took on too many persons, as students/mentees, which affected my own aura and circle of energy. Although, it was great experience.

Please visit THIS LINK here to view and READ the log of previous mentorship session.

I had promised to many of you, that I shall start this mentorship session again. So I am fulfilling your request. You shall be trading with me live, exact same trades!!!

Are you ready to start the trading with me, and look over my shoulders, how do I do it. You shall be trading in your account, but would be live with me to trade what and how I trade!! 

I shall start this  (Fee Based) mentorship session soon, as I shall be commencing the trading session for my investment company very soon.

Please send in your request to SyedFinGroup11@gmail.com.

Financial Market Outlook - Based Upon Sixty Years Time Cycle

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In my previous post of long term time cycle, I referred to a 70 Time Cycle. One of the Gann's most favorite time cycles, to which he referred as the Master Time Cycle, which is 60 years time cycle and its division thereof. 

It can be interpretted in two ways, in my opinion.

For example, one way to look for a CIT or reversal is to look at 60 years from a Major top and bottom of the market. Another interpretation, I hold is that look for what occurred 60 years ago. Therefore, I went back and looked at the 1951. The market energy prior to 1951, also looks somewhat similar to the our current market, in terms of waves of energy. Such as, start of bull market after a bottom of 3 years bear market in 1949, and during said bull market, a big correction in June/July 1950 and market exceeded the top of the June 1950 correction, and kept going higher!!


If that postulation is true, then, I ought to be watching these time cycles as noted in the chart attached herein. 


If not exactly the same price patter, then time cycles noted here would bear great importance in the future. 
What does that mean for the market??!!!

Financial Markets Outlook - 01-11-2011 - Market Patterns

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As a prudent trader, we ought to be watching many triggers, patterns, and indicator, and do not forget, price and time cycles, which affect the market we are trading.

See attached chart, which shows that the market, has been trading in a certain pattern, if one does not look at the possible case scenarios, then success as a trader shall be very tasking matter!!!

Caution! Under these circumstance, the prudent strategy is not to hold any long or short potions OVERNIGHT, until the trend is confirmed!! It could be a topping pattern, before the market breaks down or just a consolidation before the market leads higher. It is better to be safe and trade as intra-day than be caught in surprise. S&P must break above 1,278 and stay above to keep the uptrend going and same is true, when it breaks below the 1,270 or 1,262 level, it must stay below that level.!!

Very Important: Something tells me that once we break above the 1,278, we shall have exhaustive move up,. Therefore, it shall be fast and jumpy. Once we hit 1,300 level we shall experience sharp reversal!!

Private and Exclusive Discussion Forum - Do You Wish To Become Successful in Trading

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I am forming an exclusive and very private discussion group, for active traders, investors or who seek to become successful trader and investor. Condition to remain a member in this privileged discussion group is an active participation in the group.

If you would like to join this private discussion group, then, Click here to join the group

Financial Markets Forecast 12-23-10

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There is rare pattern in the Financial Markets, called "Mirror Image Fold Back".
In this pattern, there is always one gravity center of the pattern. Art and Tricky part is to determine the gravity center, when it has just developed recently, then it would be easy to forecast the next price move in the subject market.
This is an example of an almost perfect pattern, which is very rare.

What is the next move now??

Financial Markets and Fibonacci Golden Ratio

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When I published my recent forecast and analysis for December 10/13, 2010. I had referred to Golden Ratio. I was asked to elaborate a bit more its relationship with financial markets and how I apply it in my research. 

Well anyone, who is willing to put some time into the analyzing the technical charts of the financial markets, equities, currencies, and commodities, would discover that Fibonacci is present every where in the financial markets. Most of the impulse moves rallies and corrections shall stop at the 61.8% (or 62.5) or 161.8% (or 162.5) of itself and the previous run. It is applicable in both time cycles and price cycles.

I have enclosed two weekly charts from the low of 2003 to the current, which will illustrate the Golden Ratio effect on the financial markets. Besides these charts, you can and shall find thousands other instances, where these specific Golden Ratio numbers 61.8 and 161.8 (inverse of 61.8) are prevalent.
We allow 1-3 weeks orbs for long term time cycles.
1. March 2003 bear market low to the May 2006 high = 163 weeks
2. Aug 2004 low to Oct 2007 bull market top = 163 weeks
3. March 2003 low to May 2004 low = 61 weeks
4. Feb 2004 high to April 2005 high = 61 weeks
5.October 2007 high to Nov 2010 high = 161 weeks
6. May 2008 high to July 2009 low = 61 weeks
7. Feb 2009 high to April 2010 high = 62 weeks
8. November 2008 NASDAQ 100 bear market low to April 2010 high = 61 weeks
9. Above all The Chilling One Day Fastest Crash in recent history of May 2010 occurred 61 weeks from the March 2009 low 

Profitable Trading!

The Secrets of Success

I start with my gratitude to The Ultimate All-Knower

The most successful men and women on earth have had to correct certain weak spots in their personalities before they began to succeed. The most outstanding of these weaknesses which stand between men and women and success are INTOLERANCE, CUPIDITY, GREED, JEALOUSY, SUSPICION, REVENGE, EGOTISM, CONCEIT, THE TENDENCY TO REAP WHERE THEY HAVE NOT SOWN, and the HABIT OF SPENDING MORE THAN THEY EARN. (Napoleon Hills, 1928)

Time Cycles - The Financial Markets - Study Materials

With my gratitude to The Most Merciful, The Ultimate All-Knower

I have been asked to recommend some books, which help start the learning process about time cycles.
First I have already recommended several books on the right hand side of my blog. Just browse through the list of my hand-picked books. Then if you click on the blue link JUST above titled "Free Trading Seminars".  You shall be prompted to view free training and educational videos of each at least 90+ minutes. I recommend their service. You shall get a great deal of learning, at much better rate by watching educational videos. After watching 4 FREE videos, you can choose the option to continue to learn from a huge library of educational videos.

I am mulling over the idea of writing my own book and scripting my software, for about 2 years. I may have to get serious about it now.

Proper Preparation Prevents Poor Performance

With my gratitude to The Ultimate All-Knower

Once we, as traders, are prepared, then we can always outperform other market participants.

This is where Markets Time and Price Cycles come in.

Being prepared, as when to enter the trade and when to close the trade, especially, when you have options contract, pays handsome rewards.