Financial Markets Forecast - Update

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Today is the day, when shorting is the most prudent trading strategy. Time cycles are over-due for change in trend.

Do Not Fight The Tape, BUT...........

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There is an expression on the Wall Street, which is "Do Not Fight the Tape."
Any smart and prudent trader does not do that. Even if he/she thinks that the trend is due for change. However, at said juncture, the best strategy is,......to nibble and stay nimble,...... keep the stops very tights,..... once you are in profits. And above all do not hold positions over night. Because when trend is due for change. And if it does not happen during the trading day, then worst thing might happen, during over night session, when market is closed.

Financial Markets Forecast - 01-02-2011

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Are the markets going to continue their, high flying journey, to even higher targets??........................ Failure to have a serious correction in November/December, has put a lot of pressure on the markets, according to the time cycles. Markets may jump up for next couple of days, as previously suggested up-to 01/04-01/05, but if they start showing the weakness, from the first two day, then all bets are off. January month could be very tough for the markets.

There is cluster of several mathematical time cycles including 30, 180 days, Mercury mathematical time cycle, due in the first week of January. and Its manifestation could start earlier than 01/04!!!! (we have already hit a profit target for S&P previously shown on 12/27/2010, see the chart below)

Once, the markets get through the month of January, then we can look for another high in March or June.

Therefore, next couple days are very important to watch. If I am correct in my assumption that current DNA of the markets is similar to that of 2007, then markets might get sold off, more than one is estimating. In that case, markets will be making a swing low in the last week of January 2011.

Financial Markets Update -12-08-10 - ALERT

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Although, markets had shown signs of technical reversal, yesterday. However, such phenomenon had occurred before, but only to fail later. Yesterday's big range day, that is to open higher and then close lower than the day before, was caused by a certain astronomical time cycle. Which usually lasts for one day. If that is true, then, we would continue, our previous trend, going up. As a trader we ought to keep our options open and have the most probable opportunity come to us.

financial Markets Outlook 10-29-10

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Someone asked me, if I had abandoned the bearish outlook of the markets. To answer that, "No". What I said in my last post that it appears that market shall continue the current uptrend until November, most likely 11/18. (Although, I had indicated the ingress of other time cycles before 11/18, which I show how tonight). Don't miss my post tonight . I shall be posting my detailed analysis of the markets and may be we can also peak into 2011. I will also give away a few of the ways, I look at the time cycles, what time cycles, I use. Next week, I shall also reveal one of my trading techniques, which is so powerful that you will be amazed at the accuracy of that technique. It shall make tens of thousands dollars, if you manage your trade properly. Remember, if you have benefited from my posts, then pay it forward, by helping some traders, friends of yours.

Stock Market and Commodities Bubbles???

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The way all markets are exhibiting a certain pattern, they just remind me of the past, where irrational exuberant behavior of the investors and traders left them with unbearable financial pains. They were left holding on their long positions in awe and shock, when the markets started their water-fall declines, whether it may be 1929, 1987, 2000 or other similar smaller bubbles in the middle of said times. They were all bubble artificially created and falsely engineered by (baseless) stimulation by certain Fed policies in each era.

Veteran funds manager Jeremy Grantham writes in his latest quarterly commentary, "The Night of the Living Fed", that "Adhering to a policy of low rates, employing quantitative easing, deliberately stimulating asset prices, ignoring the consequences of bubbles breaking, and displaying a complete refusal to learn from experience has left Fed policy as a large net negative to the production of a healthy, stable economy with strong employment.”. You can read it in full here

Financial Markets Update

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Every time, when the time cycle is due for a manifestation, markets stop, pause or experience small correction. Thereafter, markets try to stabilize or are they? Is that for real? That reminds me of 2007, where we have several corrections before leading to the top of the bull market. As of my readers, Patrick, rightly pointed out while posing a question for my comments. Is it that some ... would like the markets stay up until the election date. Very possible and quite likely, too.

Now look at this headline; Please click on it

Smart money has been taking the shelter of the US securities, up to the lowest yield at par. But now why would some smart money investors, pay more to get less in the future. Why not trust the stock markets?

Financial Markets Update 10-14

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Are the marketa having a reversal today?
Well, markets have extended their rally beyond the important time cycles of last week. They are over-extended rather on a borrowed time. We have a time cycle date ingress tomorrow. When the markets are overextended as they are right now then the time cycle can influence a day earlier as well due to the markets' vulnerability of prices.
We are looking for an engulfing reversal bar or some kind of doji, preferably a hanging man, hammer or inverted hammer in the market prices to confirm my forecasted time cycle reversal due tomorrow. Moreover, we are just shot away from double top of many markets. Double top doesn't have to be at exact same price levels, it could be a lower double top and in several important and intermediate to longterm tops were lower double top on the right side of the chart, for example NASDAQ Lower double top in late 2007 and Aug 2008. QQQQ is already reached the April 26th high (this date was forecasted by me also, before it occured). So, be prepared......

Financial Market Update

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For a retracement to be of any significance, it must last at least 3 trading bars (days), This condition was satisfied yesterday and it has hit minimum retracement price requirement of (fib.) 23.5% and 25% and 33% (Gann).
Now the question is that, is the rally going to take the markets higher or just retest of the recent high. NASDAQ (and it ETF QQQQ) has cleared the resistance. However, SPY, SPX, DJ-30, DJ-Transportation, NYSE Composite and Russell 2K, has failed to do clear the resistance or have not done it yet. Monday is critical day, to prove any hypothesis of going further long until September 29 (or Oct first week) or the continuation of previous reversal.One point of caution, today's rally is lacking the volume.

Financial Market Analysis and Forecast 09-19-10

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Last week, powerful times cycles kept the markets under-controlled, although, could not push it lower. Usually when the time cycles fail to create a reversal, and instead the markets continue on the previous prevailing trend, the cyclists call it as inversion. Oddly enough we did not have the inversion either. Most of the indices, I track, their advances have been checked such as financial, S&P. Russell 2K and Dow Jones Transportation. Just NASDAQ have been able to eked out minuscule gains on weekly basis (due to ORCL).

We have very strong time cycle ingress during the weekend and another very important time cycle on September 21s. Therefore, markets might look for another day of sideways move (up and down and up or vice versa during one day and ending within the same range of the previous day) or some negligible gain. Then I am buckled up for the strong reversal. ( Remain prepared to go short, starting Monday, but I might wait until Tuesday)

Caveat: (though, small probability) Expect the Unexpected: If we don't have the reversal on 9-21/9-22, then we have an inversion at our hand and markets ought to rocket higher and next turn time cycle date is September 29. 

Financial Markets Outlook - Update 08-17

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Click on the chart to enlarge

For each forecast that is given FREE to all of my readers, what is expected is that you use your trading common sense, plus the rules of trading taught in several other posts, about entry and exits. For example an analysis like that recently for AMZN could not turn out as we expected. I always teach the "Expect the Un-Expected". However, if you look at the analyses, you are given certain levels where analysis shall be negated, e.g. in AMZN (Go back and look at the chart of AMZN), there were two stop-the-trade levels were given out. One was aggressive and other was for more conservative. Failure at those levels meant that there are other more powerful cycles are in effect and recent analysis was negated. If one is prudent trader then, he/she shall limit the loss at the levels given and let your profit run, once the trade goes in your favor, for the powerful profitable trades like RIMM, AAPL, GOOG and about hundred plus other trades given away.

Market Forecast Update 09-15-10

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Financial Markets are ready for a decline and more they oscillate within a day and stay within a price range, more steam is getting together for a strong move, thereafter.

Market Outlook 09-09-10 UPDATE @ 10.10 AM PST - ALERT

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I think the NHN energy has been triggered, powered by the lunar cycle. Therefore, I took some short positions earlier.

Market Outlook 09-09-10

I commence with my humblest gratitude to The Most Benevolent, The Ultimate All-Knowing

The successful trader enters and exits the trade with a plan and potential high reward/low risk. Armed with the knowledge of time and price cycles, a trader can multiply the probability of the success of a trade, as compared to just a usual price-responsive trader.

As previously stated in the August 31 and September 01 forecasts, that due to the clustering of the multiple intermediate and short term, time cycles, it ought to create a "Change in Trend" and thus Reversal in the Financial Markets' Trend preceding these time cycles. (Please see the previous forecasts' charts)

Although, one has to keep in the mind the larger time cycles. However, rule of squaring of time and price cycles requires that if the larger time cycles have to manifest their strength (of CIT), a balancing of time and price has to have occurred before such manifestation.

Though, the long term trend is bearish and down, Markets sometime tend to confuse the traders and shake out the last of the buyers, before they could decidedly trend lower and break the previous low.

What does that mean: If the markets violate the pattern as indicated in the chart, then the markets shall try to create a lower double top and still fulfill my "forecast of serious decline", as the said forecast was based upon the April 26th Time Cycle top of year 2010.

Pre-requisite for such advance: Market must violate and then test the pattern (and stay closed above the level of pink circle) just shown in the chart herein above. During such advance, there shall be other time cycles creating retracements on its way above,of which I shall do my best, to keep you abreast of.

Market Outlook 09-08-10

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Expect the Un-Expected and talk about confusion (especially under Mercury retrograde, magnifying the illusion effect)

Market Forecast 09-07-10

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Remember the following chart

We have reached that price level (so indicated on the chart) and even went passed it by a little "lost motion" amount, under the Mercury Retrograde influence  making people think that oh! oh!, forget about all the bad news, we are going higher and higher, all this doom talkers have no validity..............). (fast quick rally, (predicted on the chart and the August 31st and September 1st forecasts, as well, please see the chart below, previously shown on 08-31)

The Friday's price cycle came within the time band of 09-3rd time cycle and another time cycles coming after today close and tomorrow (September 08th). That means that we have a time cycle band average focusing on and during the long weekend time, when the US markets were closed. Thus we may have triggered the reversal CIT over the weekend. 

I, therefore, shall be watching and looking out for reversal starting from September 07 open, to go short.

Market Forecast - Time Cycles coming in on Sept 3rd - Change in Trend is Expected

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Time Cycles Ingress on September 3rd - Shall Create a CIT:
There are 3 time cycles, coming in on September 3rd. I expect them to create a Change in Trend. Thus, I shall be watching 30min and 60min charts for the clues, from the midday of today.

Market Forecast - 08-31-10, After the Close of Markets

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Time Cycles Squaring and Clustering, A Strong Move is Expected:

Market has been stuck for last few days within very tight price range. IT is caused by the squaring and clustering of (several) intermediate and small time cycles, and thus failure of price to move in either direction for last Five (05) trading days, has accumulated the built-up momentum inside the price. Therefore, a strong price move is expected. I have posted a chart for prudent entries for long or short, both have not been triggered yet. I am expecting an entry to be triggered on September 1st, based upon the Completion of Time Cycles Squaring and Clustering. (Please click on the chart to enlarge)

Market Outlook - ALERT 08-31-10 Update @ 11.40 PST

With my humblest gratitude to The Most Benevolent, The Ultimate All-Knower

Markets are showing inherit weakness, pursuant to the long term forecast, as previously published. Bigger time cycles are ruling the markets.

Market Outlook - ALERT 08-31-10

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Today is the last day of month, there has to be short covering, thus it may create a reversal pattern, whether a "fake" one or real one. Tomorrow price action shall tell. For now, it is prudent to watch these level to enter short or long