IBM Price and Time Cycle Squaring Complete. Get Ready For Correction

I selected a blue chip stock for price and time cycle analysis and forecast.

1. IBM is completing Price-Time Vector 14/8th cycle of the Price-Time Vector from 08 high to 11/21 low
2.  IBM low price from the Nov 21, 08 is squaring at about $133.96

3. Price Time Vector value is also approximately equal to the total number of c-days since Nov 08 low.
4. Total number of t-day from Nov 08 low is equal to 323.6% of t-days from '08 high to Nov '08 low.
5. 261.8% of the Price-Time Vector is equal to total number of t-days from its Nov '08 low.
6. Extension wave of 11/21-02/06 is approaching @ important level 14/8th of $131.25-131.98
7. Extension wave of  11/21-06/11 is approaching @ important level 6/8th of $130.37 -130.79
8. Another very important squaring in time and price level @ $133.96

9. One Price and Time squaring cycle coming in around Dec 17. Very strong squaring time cycle coming in on Dec 23-24.

10. On 12-14, IBM got one of the price level got squared.

Based upon the confluence of time and price cycles, I am anticipating a very serious decline in IBM setting it first foot print within next few days.

GOLD Commodity Market Forecast Follow Up

As you can see the GLD closed just exactly on the squaring angles line previously drawn on the chart since Dec 02, 2009. Does that mean that we have intermediate support, quite possibly.

We may consolidate and then head lower. We closed our shorts on Friday. We can enter short again, based upon the price action and previously I had stated the further down target. Click on the charts to enlarge.

GLD Wkly Chart Squaring Time & Price

I am adding another chart with one more mathematical and geometrical perspective of GLD. It is GLD chart with arcs. Arc is a very powerful predictive tool. It can be used very handsomely to pinpoint price and time turns in a market trend, if chart is scaled properly. Arcs, reveal more information than several other time and price cycle tools.  Horizontal and vertical lines can be drawn from the edges of the arcs to get the price level support and resistance. Vertical lines drawn, where arc ends, usually results in a drastic price move. See here.

What Was Value of MY Gold Commodity Markets Forecast Part 3

As I say that best trade is when a trade sets up and presents itself in our lap. Gold Commodity Market trade was the best example for one of those trades.

When we, as a trader learn to have patience in our trading business, we become a very successful stock market and or commodity market trader. Patience is a virtue, we have been taught that, since we were kids. But, in my opinion, its (one of the best and most valuable) test comes in the business of trading (or investing). A trader must exhibit patience to enter the trade and once the entry in a trade has been made, then trader must also have patience to let the profit run, while keeping the protection of the profits in the trade, locked in.

Let's review, how my Gold Commodity Market Forecast, had turned out to, since I predicted a serious correction in the Gold commodity market was imminent.

I had issued a Gold commodity forecast on 12-02-09 and predicted that once GLD tops out on 12-03, then Gold commodity market would start a noticeable correction.

Now for the review of the forecast, I have to use a language to be in compliance with the laws. Therefore, hypothetically, a put option bought on 12-03-09, GLD Dec 2009 114 @ approximately $0.85 per contract would have cost a merely $85.00. It closed on 12-11-09 at the last price of $4.90, but it traded as high as on Friday before the close $5.35. One could have closed the contract easily at $5.00, but I shall be conservative and considering the emotional dilema facing a trader, not knowing when to close, and therefore, closed the contract at $4.85. It netted a profit of $400 per contract. If one had invested $850 for 10 contract, the profit would have $4,000 or an investment of $8,500 would have yielded a whopping profit of $40,000 in less than 10 days. This is over 470% profit in 10 days or 16,470% annulized return on the investment. IT BEATS ALL Those Newsletters solicitation EMAILS, YOU RECEIVE FOR THE SOLICITATION OF NEWSLETTER, WHICH COST AS MUCH AS $2,500 PER QUARTER (e.g., Louis Navellier and many more)......!!!!

Could we double or tripple our trading account in short period of time?

Yes, it IS quite doable!!!!

See the chain of other GLD Dec 2009 contract strike prices to the left and calculate the profit potential at the buy point prices of different strike price levels for GLD Dec 2009 put options contract in 12-06-09, 3.32 PM post.

If some trader was conservative and closed his or her postion every day or next day, then still the return of the profit exceeded over 300% due to my Gold Market Forecast. See the examples below.

Then we look at more conservatively with GLD Jan 2010 Puts options

 and another day on 12-11-09

If one runs the number and do the calculation, it is easily determined that without trading every day and on alternate days, one hypothetically would have profited over 300% and still have the sanity.

GLD Jan 2010 Put Options Chain (above)

(Click on the charts to enlarge)

Read Stock Markets Outlook below..........

Stock Market Outlook Forecast

Thank you for sending me your warm and kind well-wishes for my recovery. My fever has been hauntig me every night. Last two nights, I had to rest in to make sure that my body shall have stored energy for the coming week.

Now let's discuss business!

Stock Markets are trying to find some directions. Since 08-07, SP-500 has been moving in a particular mathematical inter-related pattern. My following market analysis and market forecast is based upon squaring analysis of recent SP-500 high, March 6th low, and other patterns developed since August 7th high and August 17 low.

Mathematical patterns rule all the financial markets, stock markets, or commodity markets.

The specific mathematical pattern started from 08-07-09, and squaring from the Dec 4th high and March 6th low, also coincide in time and price. Based upon, said analysis, I anticipate that stock market ought to be heading down at least 84 points from the Dec 4th high. Therefore, I have a down target of at least 1,035 for SP-500. There is strong support at 1080 level. I am expecting that to be violated with gap down or long down bar.

3rd chart, shows that SP-500 stopped exactly at the 7/8th of the wave extension of the 03/06 low to June high. If a market is moving higher and has gone as high as 7/8th level, it has the best odds potential to reverse, based upon MM rules. This 7/8th wave extension also exactly coincided in price 50% retracement from the 2007 high.

Although, I am strongly leaning towards bearish move of the stock markets (and gold commodity market). But the end of month and end of year, cylce, sometimes, can trip all the analysis over.

SP-500 Hourly Chart Head and Shoulder Pattern Developing?

GOLD Commodity Market Forecast ALELRT

I am sorry for the delayed posting, I have not been feeling well. My best time for focus and concentration is night time. I have been getting fever every night. Why illness gets worst only at night time?

Well: I hope some of you did not get shaken out by some GLD or Gold bullish move. I also, hope profits were locked in when I issed an alert on Dec 8 @12.30 PM to lock in the profit, as I saw Gold coming into the support zone area. Well done to all of you, who did it!

GLD did not go above my yesterday stop levels. therefore short position is active.!!

DON'T FORGET TO TO CHECK BACK FOR A VERY IMPORTANT MARKET FORECAST & ANALYSIS. Market has exhibited a pattern, that I must discuss. It is foretelling a big move coming up. It shall be an analysis you'll be thankful to yourself to have looked at.!!!!!









GLD 10 minutes Chart, did break above resistance

Stock Market Outlook Clues

Goldman Sachs - GS 15 Minutes Chart

While I am in giving away mood, let me add another sign of detrioation in the Stock Markets and Financial Markets, is Gold Commodity Market.

Gold Commodity Market leads the Stock Market delcine.!!!! (well! stock market masters, and professional traders always knew)

I have to come back and add a note, as someone sent me an email, inquiring, if I am claiming to be a stock markets master. No I am not, rather, I am just a student. and I shall for ever remain to be a student, always learning and improving my knowledge.

When someone starts thinking that he/she is a master, then learning stops. It is like a thermostat set in your brain, which shuts off the learning, because, the (self-claimed or praised by public, which goes to his/her head) master tells the brain, to stop learning.

That solves the puzzle that why some masters of past, become irrelevant or obscured in the present or future.

Current Financial Markets Outlook UPDATE

SPDRs SP-500 Trust Serires ETF 115 minutes chart

GOLD Commodity Market ALELRT

I have received some emails, regarding my short opinion of the Gold Commodity Market and GLD (Spiders Gold Trust)

Spiders Gold Trust (GLD), Gold Commodity Chart

Stock Market Outlook on a Lighter Note!!

My Dad used to say, Be careful what you wish for. As you will get it and might be sorry to have it.

Well! we all know the strength of the scotch tape, don't we? How long does that hold a heavy object (especially due to excessive exuberance), and force of gravity is really pulling it down.!!!

Most probably analyst's clients were able to off-load whatever stocks they had to get out of!!! LOL

Current Stock Markets Outlook 12-09 - Not Impressive

Markets are very weak, and there is great doubt in today's bullish action.
I was browsing IBD Daily. and it, also confirmed my yesterday's and today's analogy of my assumption.

It says, and I quote, "The Nasdaq and the Dow tacked on 0.5% each. The S&P 500 rose 0.4%, while the NYSE composite added 0.2%. Volume was down 3% on the Nasdaq and 9% on the NYSE. The IBD 100 was up 0.6%. Indexes erased earlier losses, closing at session highs. That type of action was positive, but lighter volume diminished the market's advance."

Therefore my previous bearish stance stays about Markets rather than bullish outlook.

Always, keep one thing in mind, like a good business, a good trader, is willing to change his/her mind, when convinced with a proof.

One of my strong time cycle is due around Dec 15-18 time frame.

GOLD Commodity Market ALELRT

Gold Commodity Market has done exactly, I was anticipating. I am full short right now. As Big Bar confirmed my analysis.

BUT I AM READY TO GET OUT ANY MOMENT, when market goes to the opposite direction of my assumption. That's why stops are!. NEVER Let Ego turn a profitable trade into loosing trade.

Dec 07, 2009 Chart Sock Markets Time Cycle Date

I had posted a chart on 12-07-09 @ 1.07 am. On that I alerted for time cycle coming on 12-09.
It did create a bounce today.

But my basic assumption stands about the market that I cannot any bullish comments, of Treasury, FED or Guru or Some Goldman Sachs Analyst, unless shown otherwise by stock market patterns and confirmed by stock markets Time and Price Cycles.

GOLD Commodity Market Forecast Follow Up

Yesterday, before the Market close, I suggested that I would tighten my stops to ensure and lock in profits in Gold short and GLD short positions.

I anticipate that my suggestion was heeded to!!!!

GLD did confirm my assumption today at the open. It is up, went pass through my LIP levels.

GOLD Market Forecast Follow Up

I have not been feeling very well. But I felt obliged to answer so many inquiries, I had received via emails, about the potential support of Gold and GLD.

If you see today, price got support at the squaring angle. But I believe we have more down side. But let the chart speak to you. If I see the gap down, tomorrow at open, I would short again, and then further down target are shown below.

Based upon squaring of time and price, I see these level to offer supports, look for indications with hourly charts. I shall explain some other times, how to use hourly chart to look for some signs of support.

For now, please note down, $108.87, $106.20-$106.60. Always give some leeways, as markets makers shall blow away some stops below or above these area and you may find a support some pennies above or below these numbers.
(Click on charts to enlarge)

Gold Commodity Market Forecast Update

GOLD Forecast Update - Approaching A Support Area

Gold is tumbling and selling is fierce. But good for those who heeded to my Market Forecast. However, time to lock in profit is here, @ $110.00 range

Current Stock Markets Outlook Intra Day Update

Markets are broken down (click on the chart to enlarge)

GoldmanSachs (GS) Stock Forecast and Aftermath Part 2

On 12-04-09, I had done an analysis of Goldman Sachs (GS), and issued a Market Forecast that GS is heading much lower than current level at that time. I had predicted and anticipated $161.00 range to be first support for the GS.
Well today, it reached down to the predicted level. As a matter of fact, low of the day (thus far) $161.05. I am so humbled by the Almighty's Grace and Kindness that I am able to share my knowledge with you and I hope that some of you have been benefitted by it.

GS forecasted Price First Level of Support Achieved today

Current Stock Markets Outlook 12-08 - VERY OMINOUS

I am sorry for the delay. I had been feeling under the weather, and been overworking for last several days.
Thanks God!, att least I am GLAD that my Market Forecast came to bear. I hope some from you, would had heeded to my warning of not being fooled by any Bullish Comments or Bullish Gesture of the Market. It was Bull.... alright!!

Yesterday, in my Market Outlook, I noted,"Last night, I issued a forecast, and warned to beware of any false move. Why a move would be false? Whenever, Markets try to break a barrier, whether, as a resistance, or support, it must do with some exhibition of power. Power is manifested with the gap up or gap down or long bars with strong volume."

I further, stated that look for SOME SUPPORT at $110.07.

Markets broke down today. And it opend up @ $110.07 and sold off heavily. This forbodes very bad for the market.
Market exhibited power, but in gapping down, as I had anticipated. Therefore, Markets are heading lower, lower than current level

What Was Value of MY Gold Commodity Markets Forecast Part 2

My Gold Forecast issued just a day before the top occurred as predicted by my forecast, has continued to play well with traders, who were short Gold and Gold Spiders Trust (GLD)

                                                                              
                                        








Potential and hypothetical Trades For not so aggressive  trader

and for aggressive trader Dec 114 Put

GOLD Commodity Market Forecast UPDATE 1

See the chart below, it stipulates that Gold down move is not over yet. Lower highs and lower lows. I shall post another analysis of Gold during the night.

Click on the chart to enlarge

Gold Forecast and its aftermath waterfall drop in TWO DAYS is almost 7%

Current Financial Markets Outlook UPDATE

Last night, I issued a stock markets forecast, and warned to beware of any false move. Why a move would be false? Whenever, Markets try to break a barrier, whether, as a resistance, or support, it must do with some exhibition of power. Power is manifested with the gap up or gap down or long bars with strong volume. Today stock markets lacked both of them. NASDAQ, was especially weak.

Therefore, stock markets followed according to my stock market Forecast. stock markets exhibited an exhausting pattern.
Stock Market Makers fooled everyone who was long , and took all the buy stops out at the high of the day.

Look for (some) support @ SPY (S and P 500 spiders) price of $110.07,
if that breaks then look for a support @ green horizontal and yellow horizontal lines at my todays' chart, posted before the stock market Open

Current Market Outlook 12-06-09 Part 2

I was going through my older posts of Market Forecast, and I found these, see the power of my angles on the charts and squaring of the prices with another discover of mine, NHN Numbers.
(click on the charts to enlarge)

 Can the Financial Markets Be Forecasted Months in Advance?

See the Chart below from my My Market Forecast and see the price level and angles trend-lines!

Current Market Outlook

This is the update on my forecast posted at a public forums on 11-26-09.
Markets have failed to clear the resistance offered by the Box (a discovery and developed by me)
Market tried to go above the resistance and was rejected strongly

CNBC Miilion Dollar Challenge - Public Trading Contest - Annualized Return of At Least 250.00%

I have been requested privately to post some proof from the CNBC Million Dollar Challenge, public trading challenge.

Keep in mind that I did not participate for the full length of contest. Furthermore, I only selected stocks or ETFs, which were heavily traded, thus to reflect the actual and real live trading environment wth my cautious strategy, instead of selecting some $1 or $2 stocks to beat the other contestants. Purpose was to test my abilities of Stock Market Forecasting, Stock Market Cycles, and Stock Market Mathematical and Geometrical Pattern strategies.

See attached (click to enlarge)

What Was Value of MY Gold Commodity Market Forecast!!!

ONE MAY ASK, HOW SOMEONE DOUBLES ONE'S TRADING and INVESTMENT ACCOUNT IN SHORT PERIOD OF TIME:

If  one hypothetically followed my Gold Commodity Market Forecast, then one could have made their trading account very healthy.



 Who needs to Trade every day, and stress yourself, your family, your health. Instead wait for a trade to set up and present it in front of you. Let the Trade come in your lap. Then Trade!!

Spend the rest of time with your family and friends. Be around more with your children. Take car of your old parents, and get their blessings.

For Conservative Trader, potentially first example with in-the money put option and for semi-aggressive trader other 2 potential examples and  for Aggressive Trader the last 2 amples are out of the money puts on GLD (Gold Spider Trust)