GS Forecast of 09-21/9-22 Update

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First profit target of GS forecast of 09-21/22, achieved earlier today. That could have easily meant 300%-400% return on your investment, if properly traded with put options trades. Click on the chart to expand.

Some Stocks to look at

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When the markets continue to decline, then we shall find these stocks setting one of the best trades, you can have.

Financial Market Analysis and Forecast 09-21-10... Reversal at our hand - Update

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I had been forecasting a reversal on 09-21, we got exactly on said date, yesterday, it made intra-day higher high and then closed lower than day before.

Thank you The Ultimate All-Knowing for the gifts of knowledge and ability to share it with others!!

Financial Market Analysis and Forecast 09-21-10... Reversal at our hand.

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There are no co-incidences, or there is no chaos in The Universe. Everything is run in order and has a purpose and follows certain orderly, arrayed system (sometimes classified, due to our ignorance).

Similar rules are applicable in the financial markets. Who invest and or trade in the financial markets, you guessed it right, us.....the human. We, are subject to such Laws of The Universe, which define the order and the purpose of said order in The Universe.  Financial markets respond to many internal factors, most importantly the price and time cycles, and I am avid reader and faithful student of the time and price cycles.

We have time cycles, which are due on 09-21, and extend their influence until 09-23 (early AM) and financial markets just tapped the important price cycles of their own. All of these indices, (same is true for DJ-20, XLF, XLK or others), just hit the important price levels, which have certain re-tracement relationship with the April 26th top. The April top was created by a certain time cycle, which repeated itself just now and then we have important turn date of 09-21, and prices line up. Is that a coincidence? Hardly.... Be watching the hourly charts, and my entry system to go short, when markets signal it.
We have reversal at our hand.

Financial Market Analysis and Forecast 09-19-10

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Last week, powerful times cycles kept the markets under-controlled, although, could not push it lower. Usually when the time cycles fail to create a reversal, and instead the markets continue on the previous prevailing trend, the cyclists call it as inversion. Oddly enough we did not have the inversion either. Most of the indices, I track, their advances have been checked such as financial, S&P. Russell 2K and Dow Jones Transportation. Just NASDAQ have been able to eked out minuscule gains on weekly basis (due to ORCL).

We have very strong time cycle ingress during the weekend and another very important time cycle on September 21s. Therefore, markets might look for another day of sideways move (up and down and up or vice versa during one day and ending within the same range of the previous day) or some negligible gain. Then I am buckled up for the strong reversal. ( Remain prepared to go short, starting Monday, but I might wait until Tuesday)

Caveat: (though, small probability) Expect the Unexpected: If we don't have the reversal on 9-21/9-22, then we have an inversion at our hand and markets ought to rocket higher and next turn time cycle date is September 29. 

Financial Markets Outlook - Update 09-17

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Gold Market Update 09-17

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I had published an analysis of Gold on August 31st and  previously on August 24th  had stipulated that $1,237 is an important NHN per my research. My forecast stated that Two consecutive closes $8 above $1,237 shall negate the recent time/price cycle squaring . I further added that a decisive break above that number shall bode well for Gold. Since then Gold has rocked higher.

And Now an update on said chart

Financial Markets Outlook - Update 08-17

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Click on the chart to enlarge

For each forecast that is given FREE to all of my readers, what is expected is that you use your trading common sense, plus the rules of trading taught in several other posts, about entry and exits. For example an analysis like that recently for AMZN could not turn out as we expected. I always teach the "Expect the Un-Expected". However, if you look at the analyses, you are given certain levels where analysis shall be negated, e.g. in AMZN (Go back and look at the chart of AMZN), there were two stop-the-trade levels were given out. One was aggressive and other was for more conservative. Failure at those levels meant that there are other more powerful cycles are in effect and recent analysis was negated. If one is prudent trader then, he/she shall limit the loss at the levels given and let your profit run, once the trade goes in your favor, for the powerful profitable trades like RIMM, AAPL, GOOG and about hundred plus other trades given away.

AAPL Forecast of 08-03 Follow UP

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On August 03, when AAPL was trading at $262 levels, I published a forecast that I expected AAPL to head lower. I had given out the price and time targets. With the Grace of The Almighty, both time and price worked exactly. Rule of the price/time cycles squaring, is that whenever, one of the targeted price cycles' levels come within the expected time cycles band, then the reversal is imminent.
First See the forecasts below, Then the review in form of results after.

Results of the Forecast

Market Forecast Update 09-15-10

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Financial Markets are ready for a decline and more they oscillate within a day and stay within a price range, more steam is getting together for a strong move, thereafter.

Market Update 09-15-10 (GS Forecast)

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Markets have stopped trading higher, since my Forecast-ALERT issued on Sept 13. Plus, as some of the readers have correctly pointed out that we are getting a lot of wild-swings moves since the forecast prior to the Sept 13th.

Today Goldman Sachs (symbol GS) confirmed my analysis, not only GS shall head lower, it shall act as a leading indicator of the markets' direction as well.

Market Outlook 09-13 Update - ALERT

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Based upon the financial markets' today's closing prices, I think that tomorrow (or even today) would be the intermediate top.

Market Outlook 09-13

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All three indices have been struggling with the 200-MA. SPX and NASAQ attempt at 200-MA shall be rejected, as it is coming within the time cycle band.

The coming week contains  time cycle strongly correlated with reversal in the trend. Plus we have certain time cycles related with strong and wide price swings. Therefore, if we have up move at the open, then we shall be watching out for sharp retracement, filling in the gaps and price swings full of dizziness. If you are not able to withstand such surprise moves, then best advice, stay in cash and away from the markets. However, those traders with emotional balance, and trading systems rules of entry and more importantly the exits (see my posts of how to enter and exit the trades), shall be able to avail the sweet and profitable trading opportunities.

End of Ramadan and Celebration of Eid

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Happy Ramadan and Happy Eid to all

End of Ramadan and Celebration of Eid:
Ramadan is a period of fasting, reflection, devotion, generosity and sacrifice observed by over billion Muslims around the world. Ramadan retains its intense spiritual meaning. It begins with the sighting of new moon and ends with sighting of next month new moon.

The word "Ramadan" comes from the Arabic root word for "parched thirst" and "sun-baked ground." It is expressive of the hunger and thirst felt by those who spend the month in fasting. As opposed to other holidays, when people often indulge, Ramadan is by nature a time of sacrifice.

· Through fasting, a Muslim experiences hunger and thirst, and sympathizes with those in in the world who have little to eat every day.

· Through increased devotion, Muslims feel closer to their Creator, and recognize that everything we have in this life is a blessing from Him.
· Through increased charity, Muslims develop feelings of generosity and good-will toward others. The Prophet of Muslims (peace be upon him) once said, "Your wealth is never diminished by charity."
· Through self-control, a Muslim practices good manners, good speech, and good habits.
· Through changing routines, Muslims have a chance to establish healthier lifestyle habits -- particularly with regards to diet and smoking. Smoking is discouraged. (Thanks God I do not smoke or drink or eat any unclean products.) As it is said, we manifest outside, with whatever we intake.
· Through family and community gatherings, Muslims strengthen the bonds of brotherhood and sisterhood and friendship, in their own communities and throughout the world.

Ramadan is a very special time for Muslims, but the feelings and lessons we experience should stay with us throughout the year. In the Qur'an, Muslims are commanded to fast so that they may "learn self-restraint" (Qur'an 2:183). This restraint and devotion is especially felt during Ramadan, but we all must strive to make the feelings and attitudes stay with us during our "normal" lives. That is the true goal and test of Ramadan.

Pakistanis students at Cornell University celebration of Eid dinner (at top, center) and other pictures of celebration of the festival. Henna is one main excitement for girls (I know, being father of two). Shopping and wearing new dresses, bangles, cooking and eating special foods are some of the excitements of the celebration, which extends for 3 days.

Next Market Update shall be posted on Sunday night

(today's trade, I took as a day trade and was closed when it hit my day trade target, exact low of the day)

Market Outlook 09-09-10 UPDATE @ 10.10 AM PST - ALERT

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I think the NHN energy has been triggered, powered by the lunar cycle. Therefore, I took some short positions earlier.

Market Outlook 09-09-10 UPDATE @ 9.33 AM PST

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Financial Markets are doing, what they would like best, take out the stops and increase frustration, if traders are not careful.

However, Friday, September 10th, shall bring in the pullback, you have been waiting for. Why, there is another discovery of mine, is NHN, Natural Harmonic Number, gives me clue. When a market (or a stock or commodity) hits certain number, (just like music notes), it triggers NHN energy, which is similar to the Price Cycle, but NHN works in isolation, sometimes stronger than other cycles. Today earlier, SPX hit a NHN @ 1,110 and pulled back. Plus there is lunar time cycle ingress (one lunar cycle started today) just before the market open tomorrow. Furthermore, there is another time cycle (related with the NYSE inauguration chart) ingresses over after the market close tomorrow, which is very reliable in triggering reversal. I, therefore, shall go home over the weekend with no long positions opened, rather, I may risk some money with some shorts. (I shall be watching the charts today, as well, on hourly basis, what if the time cycle start showing effects today, especially after the NHN hit)

Market Outlook 09-09-10

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The successful trader enters and exits the trade with a plan and potential high reward/low risk. Armed with the knowledge of time and price cycles, a trader can multiply the probability of the success of a trade, as compared to just a usual price-responsive trader.

As previously stated in the August 31 and September 01 forecasts, that due to the clustering of the multiple intermediate and short term, time cycles, it ought to create a "Change in Trend" and thus Reversal in the Financial Markets' Trend preceding these time cycles. (Please see the previous forecasts' charts)

Although, one has to keep in the mind the larger time cycles. However, rule of squaring of time and price cycles requires that if the larger time cycles have to manifest their strength (of CIT), a balancing of time and price has to have occurred before such manifestation.

Though, the long term trend is bearish and down, Markets sometime tend to confuse the traders and shake out the last of the buyers, before they could decidedly trend lower and break the previous low.

What does that mean: If the markets violate the pattern as indicated in the chart, then the markets shall try to create a lower double top and still fulfill my "forecast of serious decline", as the said forecast was based upon the April 26th Time Cycle top of year 2010.

Pre-requisite for such advance: Market must violate and then test the pattern (and stay closed above the level of pink circle) just shown in the chart herein above. During such advance, there shall be other time cycles creating retracements on its way above,of which I shall do my best, to keep you abreast of.

Market Outlook 09-08-10

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Expect the Un-Expected and talk about confusion (especially under Mercury retrograde, magnifying the illusion effect)

Some Stocks to Look At - A Good Trade Set-Up

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AMZN is setting up a very good trade, for short (puts) position. Risk to Reward is very low. I would consider front month to next month, 2 months and one or two strike away from the price, put options. Stop is just above the Friday's stop.

Market Forecast 09-07-10 follow up

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Markets gapped and continuing the decline. Time Cycle which started with Crude Oil on the 3rd, got reinforced by the median of the strength of the several time cycles, over the weekend.

Market Forecast 09-07-10

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Remember the following chart

We have reached that price level (so indicated on the chart) and even went passed it by a little "lost motion" amount, under the Mercury Retrograde influence  making people think that oh! oh!, forget about all the bad news, we are going higher and higher, all this doom talkers have no validity..............). (fast quick rally, (predicted on the chart and the August 31st and September 1st forecasts, as well, please see the chart below, previously shown on 08-31)

The Friday's price cycle came within the time band of 09-3rd time cycle and another time cycles coming after today close and tomorrow (September 08th). That means that we have a time cycle band average focusing on and during the long weekend time, when the US markets were closed. Thus we may have triggered the reversal CIT over the weekend. 

I, therefore, shall be watching and looking out for reversal starting from September 07 open, to go short.

Market Forecast - Time Cycles coming in on Sept 3rd - Change in Trend is Expected - UPDATE

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Time Cycles affects some financial markets more than others. Price cycles, sometime, offer resistance to the time cycle. However, eventually, the effects of time cycle will show up, even if delayed by price cycle.Click on the chart to enlarge

Market Forecast - Time Cycles coming in on Sept 3rd - Change in Trend is Expected

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Time Cycles Ingress on September 3rd - Shall Create a CIT:
There are 3 time cycles, coming in on September 3rd. I expect them to create a Change in Trend. Thus, I shall be watching 30min and 60min charts for the clues, from the midday of today.

Market Forecast - 08-31-10, After the Close of Markets - Follow Up

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The Forecast of "Time Cycles Squaring and Clustering, A Strong Move is Expected" - UPDATE:
With The Grace of Almighty, Markets followed the forecast exactly on the date predicted. It is again only due to His Blessings.

Market Forecast - 08-31-10, After the Close of Markets

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Time Cycles Squaring and Clustering, A Strong Move is Expected:

Market has been stuck for last few days within very tight price range. IT is caused by the squaring and clustering of (several) intermediate and small time cycles, and thus failure of price to move in either direction for last Five (05) trading days, has accumulated the built-up momentum inside the price. Therefore, a strong price move is expected. I have posted a chart for prudent entries for long or short, both have not been triggered yet. I am expecting an entry to be triggered on September 1st, based upon the Completion of Time Cycles Squaring and Clustering. (Please click on the chart to enlarge)

Market Outlook - ALERT 08-31-10 Update @ 11.40 PST

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Markets are showing inherit weakness, pursuant to the long term forecast, as previously published. Bigger time cycles are ruling the markets.