Thursday, September 30, 2010

September Forecasts Review

I commence with my humblest gratitude to The Most Benevolent, The Ultimate All-Knowing

I am floored by The Countless Blessings of The Creator, including the knowledge and then the ability to share.
Although, we had some misses like AMZN, PCLN, or GOOG earlier during the mid of the month. However, if we have followed the "Rules of Trading", as prescribed to you, in several other posts, we can limit our losses (by staying alert and with the frame of mind of "Expect The Unexpected") and then turn our attention to the the profitable trades, and let the profits run, as much as possible. Few trades from RIMM, GS, SPY or QQQQ, IWM, AAPL, GOOG, and Gold would have made up the small losses and then would have rewarded you with 30-40% to several hundred percent, if managed the trades properly. Click on the charts to enlarge. Let us review the month of September:













Wednesday, September 29, 2010

AAPL & GOOG Update

I commence with my humblest gratitude to The Most Benevolent, The Ultimate All-Knower

Although AAPL and GOOG have met preliminary targets of decline after the time cycles completion, however, there is high probability that trend is to continue. In said event the targets are shown in the charts. Sometimes I use the charts to eliminate the noise from the lows and highs of the trading days.

Tuesday, September 28, 2010

AAPL Forecast 09-24-10 = Update

I commence with my humblest gratitude to The Most Benevolent, The Ultimate All-Knowing

APPL Update: Click on the chart to enlarge (Gratitude is exclusively and entirely reserved for The Most Gracious)

GOOG Forecast 09-27 = ALERT Update

I commence with my humblest gratitude to The Most Benevolent, The Ultimate All-Knower

GOOG Forecast Update Click on the chart to enlarge!

GOOG Forecast 09-27 = ALERT

I commence with my humblest gratitude to The Most Benevolent, The Ultimate All-Knowing

GOOG has been propelled higher thus far with a force of one of the dominant time cycles for GOOG. However, it is DUE for the reversal, as early as 09-28. We may a see a higher open than yesterday, however, when price starts to fall from the open and when it falls below the yesterday's close, it shall be confirmation of the time cycle effect has been triggered and it is time to go short. Please click on the chart to expand.

Monday, September 27, 2010

Financial Markets Update

I commence with my humblest gratitude to The Most Benevolent, The Ultimate All-Knower

I stated in my Friday's Sept 24th post the following, "Now the question is that, is the rally going to take the markets higher or just retest of the recent high. NASDAQ (and it ETF QQQQ) has cleared the resistance. However, SPY, SPX, DJ-30, DJ-Transportation, NYSE Composite and Russell 2K, has failed to do clear the resistance or have not done it yet. Monday is critical day, to prove any hypothesis of going further long until September 29 (or Oct first week) or the continuation of previous reversal.One point of caution, today's rally is lacking the volume." Therefore, as stated, today's price action is the most important for the determination of the health of the rally, if a rally started on 09-24th.
Now For Time Cycles: We have 09-29/09-30 and then 10-04/10-08. I shall prefer it to make a low on 09-29/09-30 and high on 10-08th time band. This shall satisfy my Crash case scenario. If we have the opposite, i.e., low on 10-08, then we have very strong rally in coming days.

AAPL Forecast 09-24-10 = Update

I commence with my humblest gratitude to The Most Benevolent, The Ultimate All-Knower

AAPL has not hit its stop-the-trade level from the aggressive entry of 09-24. Today is the conservative entry day, when AAPL stays below the AAPL average day range. (click on the charts to enlarge)

Friday, September 24, 2010

ORCL Forecast - 09-24-10 = ALERT

I commence with my humblest gratitude to The Most Benevolent, The Ultimate All-Knower

One of the astute readers of my bog-site brought ORCL to my attention (therefore credit is due to Mike). I am just doing the analysis, which is The Gift of My Creator for the purpose of helping others.
ORCL not only, seems to have created one of my favorite patterns of Island Reversal (as I consider a strong pattern, as opposed to other Chartist Technicians), but also it is completing its price and time cycles squaring. It has retracement 50% of its all time high (from .dom crash high). Furthermore, price has squared from two bottoms of 03/09 and May 10. It is occuring within the strong clustering of time cycles squaring from several tops and bottoms.
Therefore, a serious correction is expected. It shall be stronger, if markets starts its correction, also. Nevertheless, ORCL has completed its price time cycles squaring.

AAPL Forecast 09-24-10 = ALERT

I commence with my humblest gratitude to The Most Benevolent, The Ultimate All-Knower for the gifts of Knowledge and then bestowing the ability to share it with others

AAPL has completed price cycle squaring and it is happening within the time band of AAPL's dominant time cycle. I, therefore, expect AAPL to start reasonable correction and or price decline of at least 10% or minimum of $13-$15 and $20-$22. It has already started. Best (least riskier) entry is now with the stop being placed just above the today's high.

Financial Market Update

I commence with my humblest gratitude to The Most Benevolent, The Ultimate All-Knower

For a retracement to be of any significance, it must last at least 3 trading bars (days), This condition was satisfied yesterday and it has hit minimum retracement price requirement of (fib.) 23.5% and 25% and 33% (Gann).
Now the question is that, is the rally going to take the markets higher or just retest of the recent high. NASDAQ (and it ETF QQQQ) has cleared the resistance. However, SPY, SPX, DJ-30, DJ-Transportation, NYSE Composite and Russell 2K, has failed to do clear the resistance or have not done it yet. Monday is critical day, to prove any hypothesis of going further long until September 29 (or Oct first week) or the continuation of previous reversal.One point of caution, today's rally is lacking the volume.

You Want to Become a Successful Trader - Trade In Harmony Mentorship Lessons

I Commence with gratitude to The Most Almighty, The Most Benevolent, Ultimate Knower

“Invest In Harmony” Class shall be opened up again starting after the full moon. If you have not registered for it, you can do now,
I am going to let some - Few - to join. As I am re-coaching the classes with new vigor and compassion. Registration shall stop on Wednesday (September 29th).

I WILL NOT be charging any fees or tuitions. Therefore, it shall be FREE of Charge.
However, you must pay in full dividends, by following the guidelines and lessons’ requirements completely.
You probably have spent (and I myself have several thousands dollars and several times over) to attend some (2 or 3 days) seminars. But nothing helps in becoming a successful, unless you are ready to help yourself first!! Furthermore, you probably have lost several thousands in hard learned lesson, through the losses of trading and investment in the financial markets.
One thing, I am certain about that once you graduate from this learning experience, (and Big IF you graduate), you shall find yourself to be very different and better trader (and person).
You shall be required to follow a strict discipline. You shall not use any alias names. I want you come in to the Class with your personal energy, and your name.
Please create a new email address just for this Class only. Register first here in the comment section below this message and then go to this link to sign up for the Class. Once you register there at the link, you'll receive an email, asking to respond certain questions, you must answer that as soon as possible. Once I have your Detailed Response to said email, you shall be approved to enter the Class

Thursday, September 23, 2010

GS Forecast of 09-21/9-22 Update

I commence with my humblest gratitude to The Most Benevolent, The Ultimate All-Knower

First profit target of GS forecast of 09-21/22, achieved earlier today. That could have easily meant 300%-400% return on your investment, if properly traded with put options trades. Click on the chart to expand.

Wednesday, September 22, 2010

Some Stocks to look at

I commence with my humblest gratitude to The Most Benevolent, The Ultimate All-Knowing

When the markets continue to decline, then we shall find these stocks setting one of the best trades, you can have.

Financial Market Analysis and Forecast 09-21-10... Reversal at our hand - Update

I commence with my humblest gratitude to The Most Benevolent, The Ultimate All-Knower

I had been forecasting a reversal on 09-21, we got exactly on said date, yesterday, it made intra-day higher high and then closed lower than day before.
Thank you The Ultimate All-Knowing for the gifts of knowledge and ability to share it with others!!

Tuesday, September 21, 2010

Financial Market Analysis and Forecast 09-21-10... Reversal at our hand.

I commence with my humblest gratitude to The Most Benevolent, The Ultimate All-Knower

There are no co-incidences, or there is no chaos in The Universe. Everything is run in order and has a purpose and follows certain orderly, arrayed system (sometimes classified, due to our ignorance).

Similar rules are applicable in the financial markets. Who invest and or trade in the financial markets, you guessed it right, us.....the human. We, are subject to such Laws of The Universe, which define the order and the purpose of said order in The Universe.  Financial markets respond to many internal factors, most importantly the price and time cycles, and I am avid reader and faithful student of the time and price cycles.

We have time cycles, which are due on 09-21, and extend their influence until 09-23 (early AM) and financial markets just tapped the important price cycles of their own. All of these indices, (same is true for DJ-20, XLF, XLK or others), just hit the important price levels, which have certain re-tracement relationship with the April 26th top. The April top was created by a certain time cycle, which repeated itself just now and then we have important turn date of 09-21, and prices line up. Is that a coincidence? Hardly.... Be watching the hourly charts, and my entry system to go short, when markets signal it.
We have reversal at our hand.

Monday, September 20, 2010

Financial Market Analysis and Forecast 09-19-10

I commence with my humblest gratitude to The Most Benevolent, The Ultimate All-Knower

Last week, powerful times cycles kept the markets under-controlled, although, could not push it lower. Usually when the time cycles fail to create a reversal, and instead the markets continue on the previous prevailing trend, the cyclists call it as inversion. Oddly enough we did not have the inversion either. Most of the indices, I track, their advances have been checked such as financial, S&P. Russell 2K and Dow Jones Transportation. Just NASDAQ have been able to eked out minuscule gains on weekly basis (due to ORCL).
We have very strong time cycle ingress during the weekend and another very important time cycle on September 21s. Therefore, markets might look for another day of sideways move (up and down and up or vice versa during one day and ending within the same range of the previous day) or some negligible gain. Then I am buckled up for the strong reversal. ( Remain prepared to go short, starting Monday, but I might wait until Tuesday)

Caveat: (though, small probability) Expect the Unexpected: If we don't have the reversal on 9-21/9-22, then we have an inversion at our hand and markets ought to rocket higher and next turn time cycle date is September 29. 

Friday, September 17, 2010

Financial Markets Outlook - Update 09-17

I commence with my humblest gratitude to The Most Benevolent, The Ultimate All-Knowing

Gold Market Update 09-17

I commence with my humblest gratitude to The Most Benevolent, The Ultimate All-Knower

I had published an analysis of Gold on August 31st and  previously on August 24th  had stipulated that $1,237 is an important NHN per my research. My forecast stated that Two consecutive closes $8 above $1,237 shall negate the recent time/price cycle squaring . I further added that a decisive break above that number shall bode well for Gold. Since then Gold has rocked higher.
And Now an update on said chart

Thursday, September 16, 2010

Financial Markets Outlook - Update 08-17

I commence with my humblest gratitude to The Most Benevolent, The Ultimate All-Knower

Click on the chart to enlarge
For each forecast that is given FREE to all of my readers, what is expected is that you use your trading common sense, plus the rules of trading taught in several other posts, about entry and exits. For example an analysis like that recently for AMZN could not turn out as we expected. I always teach the "Expect the Un-Expected". However, if you look at the analyses, you are given certain levels where analysis shall be negated, e.g. in AMZN (Go back and look at the chart of AMZN), there were two stop-the-trade levels were given out. One was aggressive and other was for more conservative. Failure at those levels meant that there are other more powerful cycles are in effect and recent analysis was negated. If one is prudent trader then, he/she shall limit the loss at the levels given and let your profit run, once the trade goes in your favor, for the powerful profitable trades like RIMM, AAPL, GOOG and about hundred plus other trades given away.

AAPL Forecast of 08-03 Follow UP

I commence with my humblest gratitude to The Most Benevolent, The Ultimate All-Knower for the gift of knowledge and ability to share with others

On August 03, when AAPL was trading at $262 levels, I published a forecast that I expected AAPL to head lower. I had given out the price and time targets. With the Grace of The Almighty, both time and price worked exactly. Rule of the price/time cycles squaring, is that whenever, one of the targeted price cycles' levels come within the expected time cycles band, then the reversal is imminent.
First See the forecasts below, Then the review in form of results after.
Results of the Forecast

Wednesday, September 15, 2010

Market Forecast Update 09-15-10

I commence with my humblest gratitude to The Most Benevolent, The Ultimate All-Knowing

Financial Markets are ready for a decline and more they oscillate within a day and stay within a price range, more steam is getting together for a strong move, thereafter.

Market Update 09-15-10 (GS Forecast)

I commence with my humblest gratitude to The Most Benevolent, The Ultimate All-Knowing

Markets have stopped trading higher, since my Forecast-ALERT issued on Sept 13. Plus, as some of the readers have correctly pointed out that we are getting a lot of wild-swings moves since the forecast prior to the Sept 13th.

Today Goldman Sachs (symbol GS) confirmed my analysis, not only GS shall head lower, it shall act as a leading indicator of the markets' direction as well.

Monday, September 13, 2010

Market Outlook 09-13 Update - ALERT

I commence with my humblest gratitude to The Most Benevolent The Ultimate All-Knowing

Based upon the financial markets' today's closing prices, I think that tomorrow (or even today) would be the intermediate top.

Market Outlook 09-13

I commence with my humblest gratitude to The Most Benevolent, The Ultimate All-Knower

All three indices have been struggling with the 200-MA. SPX and NASAQ attempt at 200-MA shall be rejected, as it is coming within the time cycle band.

The coming week contains  time cycle strongly correlated with reversal in the trend. Plus we have certain time cycles related with strong and wide price swings. Therefore, if we have up move at the open, then we shall be watching out for sharp retracement, filling in the gaps and price swings full of dizziness. If you are not able to withstand such surprise moves, then best advice, stay in cash and away from the markets. However, those traders with emotional balance, and trading systems rules of entry and more importantly the exits (see my posts of how to enter and exit the trades), shall be able to avail the sweet and profitable trading opportunities.

Thursday, September 9, 2010

End of Ramadan and Celebration of Eid

I commence with my humblest gratitude to The Most Benevolent, The Ultimate All-Knower of the countless blessings

Happy Ramadan and Happy Eid to all

End of Ramadan and Celebration of Eid:
Ramadan is a period of fasting, reflection, devotion, generosity and sacrifice observed by over billion Muslims around the world. Ramadan retains its intense spiritual meaning. It begins with the sighting of new moon and ends with sighting of next month new moon.

The word "Ramadan" comes from the Arabic root word for "parched thirst" and "sun-baked ground." It is expressive of the hunger and thirst felt by those who spend the month in fasting. As opposed to other holidays, when people often indulge, Ramadan is by nature a time of sacrifice.

· Through fasting, a Muslim experiences hunger and thirst, and sympathizes with those in in the world who have little to eat every day.
· Through increased devotion, Muslims feel closer to their Creator, and recognize that everything we have in this life is a blessing from Him.
· Through increased charity, Muslims develop feelings of generosity and good-will toward others. The Prophet of Muslims (peace be upon him) once said, "Your wealth is never diminished by charity."
· Through self-control, a Muslim practices good manners, good speech, and good habits.
· Through changing routines, Muslims have a chance to establish healthier lifestyle habits -- particularly with regards to diet and smoking. Smoking is discouraged. (Thanks God I do not smoke or drink or eat any unclean products.) As it is said, we manifest outside, with whatever we intake.
· Through family and community gatherings, Muslims strengthen the bonds of brotherhood and sisterhood and friendship, in their own communities and throughout the world.

Ramadan is a very special time for Muslims, but the feelings and lessons we experience should stay with us throughout the year. In the Qur'an, Muslims are commanded to fast so that they may "learn self-restraint" (Qur'an 2:183). This restraint and devotion is especially felt during Ramadan, but we all must strive to make the feelings and attitudes stay with us during our "normal" lives. That is the true goal and test of Ramadan.


Pakistanis students at Cornell University celebration of Eid dinner (at top, center) and other pictures of celebration of the festival. Henna is one main excitement for girls (I know, being father of two). Shopping and wearing new dresses, bangles, cooking and eating special foods are some of the excitements of the celebration, which extends for 3 days.
Next Market Update shall be posted on Sunday night
(today's trade, I took as a day trade and was closed when it hit my day trade target, exact low of the day)

Market Outlook 09-09-10 UPDATE @ 10.10 AM PST - ALERT

I commence with my humblest gratitude to The Most Benevolent, The Ultimate All-Knower

I think the NHN energy has been triggered, powered by the lunar cycle. Therefore, I took some short positions earlier.

Market Outlook 09-09-10 UPDATE @ 9.33 AM PST

I commence with my humblest gratitude to The Most Benevolent, The Ultimate All-Knower

Financial Markets are doing, what they would like best, take out the stops and increase frustration, if traders are not careful.

However, Friday, September 10th, shall bring in the pullback, you have been waiting for. Why, there is another discovery of mine, is NHN, Natural Harmonic Number, gives me clue. When a market (or a stock or commodity) hits certain number, (just like music notes), it triggers NHN energy, which is similar to the Price Cycle, but NHN works in isolation, sometimes stronger than other cycles. Today earlier, SPX hit a NHN @ 1,110 and pulled back. Plus there is lunar time cycle ingress (one lunar cycle started today) just before the market open tomorrow. Furthermore, there is another time cycle (related with the NYSE inauguration chart) ingresses over after the market close tomorrow, which is very reliable in triggering reversal. I, therefore, shall go home over the weekend with no long positions opened, rather, I may risk some money with some shorts. (I shall be watching the charts today, as well, on hourly basis, what if the time cycle start showing effects today, especially after the NHN hit)