Stock Markets Update 7-13-11

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Sometimes, the answer is the simplest and obvious.

Market's very important and usual leader index, QQQ or NASDAQ could not cross the downward trend line which started from 07/07/11 high. Although other indices have been clear said similar overhead resistance. That is the reason, NASDAQ fell harder than other market indices. Market (NASDAQ) and SPY, the S&P-500 must overcome the resistances as shown on the attached pictures with gap above this level or with strong wide up bar.

SPY Forecast & Analysis 7-13-11

QQQ Forecast & analysis 7-13-11

Market Forecast of 7-7-11 and 7-11-11 Update

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Financial Market have acted according to the time cycle forecast (of 07/12/), the change in the trend, CIT. And yesterday, it did find its low per time cycle and change in trend manifested. Therefore, look for the markets to keep rising till next time cycle date.

I do get some emails, people sending their technical analyses, and questioning my time cycle analyses. These emails, are not derogatory, just trying to discuss and finding my time cycle incomprehensible, as technical analysis told them that the correction or trend change has occurred on 07/11 due to the sell-off on the said date. Time Cycles shall always trump the technical analyses. Use of technical analyses is recommended only to verify the time cycles, not against it. One day sell-off of 07/11/11, was just to wash out the sellers.

Stock Markets Update 7-12-11

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SPY Forecast 7-12 -
Market going higher very soon

Markets fell at the start of the day, then rallied till the EOD of day and then after FOMC statement dropped only to close just a notch below the yesterday's close. Market is trying to find its base and foundation before the next run up. Therefore, the sellers are being washed out. Market time cycle turn date was 7-12. I believe it did come and it showed its manifestation. Sometimes, the results are known and visible the next day, as the time cycle  date becomes the last day of previous trend. Regardless, the next week, time cycle is an important, which spans from 07-18 thru 07-21, for a turn in the market. If  the market continues to drop then it shall find its low around said time cycle, otherwise, markets shall find the reason to rally from here on.

EURO Oulook

EUR/Swiss Franc Forecast 7-12-11

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Euro Currency has lost almost 300% of its value against Swiss Franc, within last 30+ years. It has dropped from 3.00+ to low of 1.16 area. Its is about to find its bottom soon. Target price is just below 1.09 area.

Stock Markets Update 07-11-11

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Market did receive the correction, which I was waiting (in either case scenario of bullish or previous bearish stand, and it also came after the time cycle of 07/08/11). US Stock Markets dropped and (looking at Standard & Poors 500) stopped today and closed exactly at the predicted level of 1,322 (+/-3) (which also coincides with 38.2% pullback and level rests at 50 and 100 MA's. It came down to test the support of this price level. Which ought to act as strong support. Violation of this level shall lead the index 12 points down to a solid support (which happens to be 50% retracement of the recent rally) of 1,307 (+/-) level. Which (or current, in the event of the market starts rallying from tomorrow, which is likely, also) shall create a very good buy point to enter long.
7/12 is a Cycle turn date, if doesn't create a change in the trend, then markets shall get into serious trouble.

Gold and Silver Markets' Forecast Update

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Gold and Silver both moved within the time reversal and according to the forecast and as alerted to the subscribers.
Gold total moves were $25+ and Silver 5.50%+ on the day of reversal and within time of reversal.

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Stock Markets Update 7-11-11

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I'll look for ABC correction completion at SPX 1,322(+/-3), during Reversal Times to watch NY time: 11:30-12:15, 1:40 pm and last 45 minutes before close on 07/11/11

Thank You My Creator and You.... My Readers!

I commence with my humble gratitude to My Creator for having blessed me with Decent, Nice People, who always send me positive energy, all the time. It is their love, support, kindness, encouragement, which has kept me and still keeps me going on.

Yes, I shall continue to share the God-Bestowed Gift till the day, I join My Maker!

Mr George White (among thousands others who visit my site every day) has been in the markets for last 35+ years. It's real an honor to have been blessed with such traders as readers.

Assets and Wealth Management - Major Opportunity of Abundance

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What is Luck?
“Luck is a crossroad where preparation and opportunity meet”

On Thursday, July 7th, Jupiter in Taurus trined Pluto in Capricorn at 6 degrees in the earth element. This is the first of three "trines" this planetary pair made in 2011 and 2012. The other two periods will be on October 28th, 2011 and March 12th, 2012. This occurs only twice in every 12 years, (once every 5-6.5 years)

This is a cycle of opportunity and abundance during the month of July especially if there is a favorable connection with this trine to planets in your personal chart. Look for opportunities to advance your business or career to the next level! Good financial or investment opportunities may present themselves to you. On a personal level, your sense of self worth and importance can appreciate. This is a good month for self improvement in all areas if a detailed plan of action is followed. The tide is moving more in your direction towards the attainment of your goals. (Credit for this statement goes to my friend Ted)

Would you like embark and meet with your abundant fate?

“Keep the 100% CONTROL of your investment and assets accounts under your name and still let a Successful Wealth Manager and Trader  to help you grow your assets and wealth ….. @ Rate of 20-25%!
We are accepting clients for Assets and Wealth Management! Send an inquiry to Syedfingroup@gmail.com

New Group at FaceBook

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Join me for discussion, exchange of ideas of stocks and commodities trading and investing. Click on the link to the right here.

Stock and Commodity Markets Update - 7-10-11

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The most recently conducted analyses, forced me to change my stance from bearish to bullish. This conclusion was derived from looking at the past and ancient history and market cycles. What compelled me to look at the markets with blank slated mind, so that I could look at the markets, without any previously formed opinions, was the recent rally's strength. You see, what markets lost in 45 days, was recovered in less than 14 days. What was the underlying force behind it? It surprised many, including me, at first. But not after I reviewed the history cycles once again.  Bigger the time cycle, stronger the effects. 10, (18) 20, 36, 60, 90 years time cycles are the strongest to look at when analyzing long term trends and underlying engine of the markets.
And remember according to the forecast analysis posted recently, 7/8/11, was an important dateline and there is an expectation of a small ;pullback/correction/consolidation, to create momentum to go higher after that.

Gold and Silver are going to go through a correction (distribution) phase, before precious metals shall rally again into new highs... Yes New highs. However, they ought to create the engine for such momentum for future strong bull-run. I see gold and Silver making an important swing (low?) on or about 07/20/11 (+/-1).

This one  "baised reader" wants me acknowledge him/her. That person, wants me acknowledge (who keeps sending me the "hate" email, that I was wrong in last 4 trading days bearish forecast (thus stopped-out AAPL, NFLX and other trades). In all fairness, as I said, earlier.... rather said by a reader of mine, "Show me person, who claims to be correct 100% of time, then I will show you the liar". In the words of another great market forecaster Daniel Ferrera, "You can be correct ten times in a row on your market calls, but as soon as you generate one loss, people will jump down your throat if you broadcast the trades. Others might not follow sound money management either, which when the inevitable loss eventually comes, they will have nothing good to say about you or your analysis approach. Keep your trading decisions to yourself."
I agree with Ferrera with everything, but the last sentence, where i believe in sharing. Sometimes, I shall be wrong, but decision rests with readers of conscious that how many times, they have benefited from my market forecasting. I just tabulated my forecasting record for some potential clients. My success record is 88%-91% on a random selection of forecasting period of any rolling 90 days (thanks to the Dear Almighty's Grace). 
I promise that this is the last time, I air the negative energy from such negative person(s). I wanted to show to that person, that I am able to face the criticism, not necessarily broadcast it, as I only believe in focusing on the positive energy, to keep myself in harmony with The Universe, which is nothing but "Positive". 

Stock Markets Forecast 7-7-11 - ALERT

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Since the real start date of the rally (after it cleared the resistance of 06/21), the strength of the move up was breathtaking, and bothersome to me (in the absence of the volume of big buyers). Since July 5 (it has been 3 days) and today gap above the 5/31 or 6/01 high, forced me to go back and check on my notes of the dominant time cycles for the stock market. The underlying strength of price move (though not obvious from technical indicators, like volumes or sentiments) was trying to bring my attention to check up on longer term time cycles, as smaller time cycles are superseded by the strength of longer time cycles. Which can only be learned by (re-)viewing the history. History and time cycle generated by the previous history creates the current behavior of the financial markets.
Prudent traders ought to always re-evaluate their positions and stances, if a situation calls for it.

Stock Market time cycle analyses and forecast 7-7-11

07/08 is the "line in the sand". ....
If the market continues to trend higher after 07/08 (which it will, deducted after my re-study of longer term time cycles earlier today), and "around" the 07/08 time cycle, if markets only consolidate and or retrace only a little, then my today's review of history, tells me that time cycles have "reset" the count of the bull market. The time cycles have done, what they do best, change the trend. That means, June 16h low was real trigger for this change of trend. If I am correct in the assumption then bear market 'serious leg down' has been averted for now (recent correction was merely a correction to set the stage for new run up in prices), and new bull market has started as of the retest of the swing lows on 06/23.
Future Outlook: Markets shall find some considerable resistance on 07/18, followed by time cycles of 8/04, 08/22 (8/30). Markets, however, shall continue to trend higher until 09/12-13, followed by a double top (lower or similar height) in first week of October and then the Sever correction extended over 8-9 months (which I was waiting to transpire now), and followed by another leg up into early 2013.

Stock Markets - Very IMPORTANT ALERT!

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I have conducted an in-depth analyses of the financial markets. Which reveals an important turning point and change in the underlying time cycles, into the stock markets (of the world).  Stay tuned..... and revisit in few hours.

Some Stocks to Look at - (a peek inside my trading room) - SINA

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SINA has completed a certain time and price cycle, based upon which, I believe it is ready to tumble. Short and or Puts are prudent strategy, with stop at HOD or @ $118.50.

Crude Oil Forecast of 6-30-11 UPDATE

Crude Oil Forecast of 6-30-11

Crude Oil Forecast of 6-6-11

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It gives me great pleasure to report that Crude Oil Forecasting Subscription has done great job again. (beside the failure at the recent 4 days run up in the markets :-) .. Click on the picture to enlarge.
Please send your inquiries about the Forecasting Subscription to Trade.N.Harmony@gmail.com

Crude Oil Forecast results

Stock Market Time Cycle Update

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Stock Market Time Cycle &
Price/Time Vector

US Stock Markets (and other markets in the world) are literally on borrowed time and price, floating on thin air balloon. If it does try to float higher and does not turn now, then One THING IS GUARANTEED that decline shall get even worse, once it starts to turn lower. Law of Physics, cannot be violated for long. Once broken loose, and independent, then reaction is similar or stronger than the precursor action.
Best place to short the market, is now.
If history has any relevance (which IMHO, does dictate the future behavior of human, thus resultantly, the financial markets, we invest in), potential impeding decline shall be phenomenal, once the price level of 06/16 is broken. Bull market trend has been over-balanced in price and time, see the picture attached here.

If you browse the chart., each time correction prolonged in price and time. Each number on the bull-run or correction is price/time vector.  the other numbers are trading days between swings. As you see the correction got sever on every bull-run, however bull run remained the same in the length of time, however, it did extend according to Fib. numbers.

After the 61.8 price/vector leg up till Feb/18, market dropped and then moved higher in ABC wave, marking a top on 05/02. Price time vector was 35 which was exceeded by the recent correction from 05/02 to 06/16. Not only the correction exceeded the recent leg up (or wave 5 for Elliottians ), but it also exceeded the leg down from 02/18 to 03/16 in price and time both, as shown by the price/time vector.

Rule of trend determination: Once a correction exceeds all previous corrections of the bull market, then trend is changed. The height of the rally after the first impulse down, is the best and safest place to "Sell".
Maximum time, allowed for this rally is until Friday 07/08/11.....

Some Stocks to Look at - (a peek inside my trading room) - LULU,

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LULU, has completed a certain price cycle, from which it has declined before, therefore, if history stands correct then, LULU is very highly likely to retrace, a good short trade. July $115 or Aug $105 could be a way to do it.

Stock Markets Forecast of Time Cycle 07/01-07/04/11 - ALERT

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Decline and reversal of the uptrend, has started!!

Crude Oil Forecast of 07-1-11

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Crude Oil Forecast 6-30-11

How to make $5,000 per week easily
with Crude Oil Forecasting Service

• 07/01 time cycle was stronger than 07/03 time cycle, as expected, "Used the word HARSH ONE"
• 07/03 time cycle reversal,  created only a small reversal consisting of about $1.00. It was clear and easy trade to scalp $1.00 or $1,000 per contract. Crude stopped at the previous price resistance level, when it lined up with 07/03 time cycle. 
• Price reversal levels of 07/01 time cycle, never came under attack. Once the 07/03 time cycle's affects faded away, Crude shot higher.
• Crude has gone finally to my forecasted level of $97.00+ from the long trade entry was @ $93.95.
• It was $4.00 trade. The diagonal downward trend line parallel drawn at point B gave support, plus the previous horizontal support.

Gold and Silver Forecasts Update

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Below is the outline, what was said to the subscribers and what had transpired since then.
First to underscore the importance of the time cycle, a pre-alert was issued.
Then Weekly Forecast was pre-released.
Gold dropped to $1,478 on 07/01, according to the forecast and to the forecasted levels.
Gold has galloped $35 since its low of $1,478.25 on 07/01 and $22 since its low on 07/03-07/04
Silver moved 5.5+% since its low on 07/01 or its low on 07/03-07/04


For Inquiries about subscription, send an email to trade.n.harmony@gmail.com

Happy independence Day

HAPPY 4th of July!
I wish and pray that we could keep the true spirits ("the independence") of the day alive, which are being taken away from the people of the land, just by a small group of people! Otherwise, very soon, the "Happy" will start fading away!!

Stock Markets Update 07-01-11

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Market Indices have reached at the levels, which are the ceilings, as resistance, and it is happening within the time cycle alignment with the price. Time cycles are being squared.

Therefore, Next Week is down week. Today's is (or Monday for Asian and European Markets) is the top of the swing high day.

Some Stocks to Look at - (a peek inside my trading room) - MA, AAPL, HPQ

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MA has galloped on the news, now it is time to short it. For example, Buying Jul11 $295.00 PUT @ 3.60 Limit to Open.

AAPL has advanced to a certain price level which is offering resistance and more importantly it is occurring within its time cycle of reversal. I am buying Jul11 $325.00 PUT @ $2.38 Limit to Open or more aggressively Buy 10 Jul11 320.00 PUT @ 1.49 Limit to Open

HPQ has created a strong reversal pattern, trade example: Buy Jul11 36.00 PUT @ $.42 Limit to Open

Always using proper management to protect the trading capital is advised by applying strategic "stop-the-trade" policy, when trade is not in favor.

Some Stocks to Look at - (a peek inside my trading room) - LNKD, BIDU, NFLX

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The LNKD trade was stopped out, only to have come back and closed at my stop level. Failure from the close of yesterday, will trigger a short again. I shall be aggressively short on LNKD from these levels, with stop of yesterday high or today's high (which ever is lower)

Should I trust and Invest into the Current Rally?

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Big Question in the mind of trader of the financial markets is, "Should I trust and Invest into the Current Rally"?

Markets have finally surpassed the resistance of 06/21, but it is now, also entering into a danger zone, which would have been averted, if the decline had continued, and selling momentum would have evaporated eventually within next few days.

However, after the rally, the selling will come with renewed energy, and severity. It shall be ruthless, this time. Current rally would cause to develop a "Major Pattern of Head and Shoulder" and thus result in bigger decline eventually to follow after this rally has ended. Therefore, current rally is a "B" leg of the "ABC \/\". The consequential decline, wave "C", shall start, after the completion of the "B" wave, which shall be very soon. According to my time cycle analysis, I foresee July 1st to July 5th window to be aligning up with price cycles.

Please see the attached chart of NASDAQ Composite Index, It is heading into the major resistance of 2,760, 2780, which is at 61.8% level of the recent wave "A" down from May 2nd high to the June 16th low. Final wall of resistance rests at 2,800 and 2,820 areas, which are 70.70% and 78.60 retracement from the 05/02 high. Once market enters into the 2,780 area, it would have completed the required height of the left shoulder. The neckline rests at 2,600 area. Upon the successful completion of the left shoulder and subsequent decline, could target the 2,462 and then further lower target of 2,340.

Now let's look at the Standard & Poor 500 Index, SPX. My targets for the current rally are 1,315, 1,322 and final ceiling at 1,328 area. These resistances mark the 50% and 61.8% retracement from the May 2nd high. I think that 1,315 (+/-) could be a strong resistance, rather a reversal pivot, as it squares the price of SPX, from both pivots of  05/02 high and 06/16 low. 
Upon successful completion of the head and shoulder pattern, my support targets are 1,220, and 1,205. When the further decline ensues, the next support targets are at 1,190, 1,176, 1,150 area.

Stock Markets Update 6-29-11

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The Big Question?

I am being asked that what if, the market gaps above the SPX $1,299 level (takes out my stop for short trade) and stays above the level, as my pre-requisite for reversal to the upside.

Then I have already stated the time cycle is coming in on July 1st for change in trend, which I was expecting to be low, but if the markets goes higher on Wednesday and takes out the stops and trade and closes above (without making any doji bar, the indecision bar) then market shall continue its rally till 07/1 and 07/05., till July 4th weekend. Then a reversal of the trend shall occur to start the 2nd leg down. I assume that market going higher shall stall at 61.8% (66.66% for DJI) or 70.7% (for NASDAQ) and that would coincide with the CIT of July 4th weekend.

Gold and Silver Markets' Forecast 06-28-11

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If you have read my previous forecasts, I have published forecast of a sever decline in Gold and especially Silver, with exact date and price for Gold and Silver, before Gold went higher to $1,577 and Silver went to $49.84.

Now, please see the attached chart.

I must say that if you could handle the gyration, then you shall see Gold going to test the $1,450 (even lower at $1,434-$1,438) area before it would make an intermediate bottom for another trend higher.

Please look also, at the momentum; it has to make a higher low with the lower prices to declare a bottom.

Silver shall follow along the gold. Silver has lost its luster. It shall gather that shine, once again, after, Silver finds its bottom. Then Silver shall make another run higher, much higher. Bottom shall be created for the both metals by Gold trend reversal.

Remain Blessed

Stock Market Update - 6-28-11 @ 3.08 PM

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Please look at the chart enclosed. If you ignore the out of the ordinary long volume bar, the volume is dropping, while price is going higher. An hourly inverted hammer at decreade volume, with and 50% retracement. The best and prudent strategy is selling right here and with stops at above the HOD.

I received an email, questioning my bearish stance, what if I am wrong!
Yes, I have been wrong before, (less times that I've been right :-)
The Only way market can get out of this JAM, is to gap above the SPX 1,299 level. Otherwise, it shall pull back hard.

Some Stocks to Look at - (a peek inside my trading room) - LNKD, BIDU, NFLX

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MarketWatch headlines states, " IPO underwriters start social-network firm with buy ratings"

Well, we know, there are no such thing as Ethics on Wall Street Firms. Those who market the IPO, would like their customers to get out at higher prices, before it drops again. WOW

I am going short LinkedIn (symbol: LNDK) with stop just above $87.50
Two more trades from my trading room, BIDU is at its DNA reversal area, I am buying  Jul11 $125.00 PUT @ 1.30 Limit  to Open and NFLX I am buying Jul11 240.00 PUT @ $1.75 Limit  to Open.  Stops just above the HOD. Short many other big Tech Names!!1

Stock Market UPDATE - 6-28-11

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US stock markets (so are world's other stock markets) are approaching resistance, levels, as indicated in my previous posts, at a thin volume. I am either in cash or scaling in shorts till the end of the day, with stop at just above the 06/22 highs. Actually, the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index has risen to its 4th test of "now very important" resistance — the April low of 1,294 (or the 06/22 high of $1,299) — and the markets reaction to this area should set the very near future market trend.

Learning How to Trade Commodities and Stock Markets

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"Only one who devotes himself to a cause with his whole strength and soul can be a true master. For this reason, mastery demands all of a person." .... Albert Einstein.

I get quite a few inquiries, as how to trade. I try to help others in several ways, and to those, who are in need and want to trade with little trading capital. Then I discover that it shall be hard for me to help. Why?.... The reason is that..., how can I help someone with my FREE Forecasting Subscription Service, if they do not know, how to benefit from it.

Therefore, it is my humble request, that those of you, who really want to learn about trading and become better at it, spend serious time in learning. There are many sources available. I, however, endorse one source, because I have tried them myself. There is plethora of knowledge available from famous writers, market experts, and analysts in form of streaming video seminars. You can view them at your convenience at any place, home, office, or some other place, at a computer.

There is Blue Banner playing just above at the top of the site. Click on it and you shall be directed to browse at least 4 online lengthy seminars. Try it and see if you like. Membership is hundred times less than your loss on your one trade. Once again, I repeat the words of the legend, "Only one who devotes himself to a cause with his whole strength and soul can be a true master. For this reason mastery demands all of a person"

Assets and Wealth Management

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“Keep the 100% CONTROL of your investment and assets accounts under your name and still let a Successful Wealth Manager and Trader  to help you grow your assets and wealth ….. @ Rate of 20-25%!

IT DOESN'T MATTER WHERE YOU LIVE.
My Company has achieved accreditation of an approved Financial Adviser.
Your investment accounts can be managed in 90 different countries (Markets).... Yes 90 different markets!!!

Having the complete 100% control of your assets = the least amount of risk.

Please contact me at SyedFinGroup@gmail.com or 1-714-610-9889. Request of new clients for our managed accounts department, are being entertained right now.

Stock Markets Update 6-27-11

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Markets rallied today. However, it was lackluster, with any commitment of big buyers. The rally was actually a "ball bouncing off (the last bounce)" the 200-days MA, very last time, before it dropped in a water-fall fashion.
I have previously published and showed you the use of 3-days charts, it was Gann's the most favorite swing chart to determine the direction of trend. According to the 3-days chart theory, (like other charts), recent swing has to be taken out in a 3-days chart, before a trend-reversal in confirmed [Market has to take out (and stay above) the June 22nd high (in some cases, 06/23 high to reverse the trend.]

All of the recent rallied occurred on thin volume, especially today's. Which usually big boys use to sell last time at better prices, before the market is dropped again. Please look at the enclosed SPX chart , it clearly shows that Selling pressure always exceeded the buying and the last "down red bar" engulfed the previous green bar.  Now if you look at the hourly chart of SPY, the S&P ETF, it clearly indicates that the gap has created a big resistance.

Now please look at the NYSE Composite Index hourly chart it shows a "divergence in selling pressure at equal prices",  which also, foretells that more selling is coming. Also look at the 2 hourly chart of NYSE, it also confirms that more selling is on its way, before a bottom can be put in.

Gold and Silver Markets' Forecast Update

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Last week, once again Gold/Silver Forecasting Subscription was very profitable to the Subscribers. (plz click on the pictures). Gold has dropped over $45 since the "Short Alert".

Last night, again, in the Weekly Forecast Update, subscribers were alerted to go short again, if there is rally on 06/27 AM. Rally did occur and shorting was the only prudent strategy. Please see the charts below!

If you would like to inquire about Forecasting Subscription Service, Please send an email to TRADE.N.HARMONY@GMAIL.COM

Stock Market Forecast update 6-27-11

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Markets did turn around as expected exactly on the date of the turn.
Although, a sign of relief,...as far as my prediction is concerned. But it worries me that an innocent trader shall be trapped taking this rally. Why?
Stay tuned for detailed analysis later this evening.'

Stock Market Forecast of 6-22-11 - Update

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US Stock markets have dropped despite the big rally (1.5% to 2.2%) in the Asian Markets. If you watching Asian Markets and then European Markets (up-to 1.75% higher) overnight, then you would have doubted my forecast of further decline to come. But it happened again according to my forecast. Thanks only to Dear Almighty for The Blessings of insight.

If you remember, in one of my time cycle forecasts, I have indicated a time cycle ingress on the weekend (06/24 to 06/27). If the market does not reverse during this time cycle (Monday the latest) then the decline shall continue until July 4th weekend. If market continue to drop from Monday, it shall be quick and sever one!!
Look for the price targets in my previous posts.

My Humblest Gratitude To You

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But I must pay my humblest gratitude to All of You for your Consistent Support. Thank you. (click on the picture to enlarge)

Stock Market UPDATE - 6-23-11

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Selling every rally, whether a multi-days swing or intra-day high, is THE ONLY PRUDENT TRADER strategy.

Selling shall continue, it is just the beginning of second leg down!! (stops are just above the high of 06-21 or 6-22, if the market turns around)

Markets Act in Predictable Manner - Stay Tuned for An Important Update -- UPDATE

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When you let The God and Universe let answer for you, then you don't need to.

Skeptics, today were answered by the Market's Action.
Yesterday, I had issued an alert for an important update.
I had alerted my subscribers to go short Crude, Gold/Silver, Stock Markets Yesterday!!


Sell off is across the board throughout the world and all markets, including Metals and Crude Oil and it is to Continue

Financial Market Time Cycles Update

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I am analyzing the Dow Jones Transportation, for a reason. It has been like a trend leader, not a laggard, like QQQ or NASDAQ.

A reader complained that I predicted a swing low on 06/13, and then I reversed my position. If someone looks at my posts without a BIAS, then he/she would know that I am trader, not an investor, and my God-Bestowed-Gift (not my talent, but It Is A Blessings of The Creator He Can Turn that gift off, any time, When He Wishes to do so) is picking the lows and highs for maximum probability of profitability with the least risk (closer stops). As you shall see that 06/13 was "the low" for DJ-20 (see attached chart and same is true for Russell 2K). However, S&P-500 and other indices especially NASDAQ really had last strong shake-up and sell-off after 06/13. Thus was my alert issued on 06/14 to go short again, until I reversed my short position on 06/16. I have certain pre-requisite to qualify for change in the trend and price has to act in certain fashion to confirm the change in trend. Mind you that 06/16 was a swing low. However, Stock markets did perform a retest of that swing low (and most market leader did make a lower low even) after 06/16.

Now coming back to today's (and yesterday analysis)!
DJ Transportation, just made inverted hammer @ 61.8% retracement from 5/2 high and 70.70% retracement from 5/19 high. Not only it got rejected at 50-days MA, but also its momentum has risen beyond previous crests' levels, thus creating a divergence. (BTW 6/13 was a turn date on this index)
Russell 2K, just made inverted hammer @ 38.2% retracement from 5/2 high and 50% retracement from 5/31 high and 21-days MA rejected the index (BTW 6/13 was a turn date, but 6/16 retested and become double bottom)

Nothing needs to be added to my previous post (click red link to read), pertaining to (DJI and) S&P 500, as it dropped exactly from yesterday highs (again a price level indicated by me). Nasdaq Composite went within 6 points of my indicated resistance of 2,700 and sold off today. I expected the rally to last 3-5 trading days, thus a turn date of 06/24, matching with my CIT turn. However, if we consider a low from 06/16, then rally has lasted for 4 days or (5days, if we take the high of today as swing high) or 7 trading days, if we consider 06/13 as swing low. Mean of both swing lows (13th or 16th) is (4+7)/2=5.2 days.
Has the pre-condition of rally within a downtrend been satisfied? Probably astounding, yes. However, I will prefer the tomorrow price action to confirm it, too.
Remember we are in down trend. and stock markets always experience relief rallies.

YES, the prudent strategy was being in cash yesterday at EOD, ... My biased reader! :-).
On this link I have assembled all of my forecasts starting 04/25/11, which had fore-warned the (serious and sincere) readers of my FREE blog-site, for impending change-in-trend of the markets. Click the link here

What does this analysis mean to you : There is highest probability that we have swing high put in and another leg down about to start. Unless the market Gaps above the today's highs, and stays and trades above and closes above the today's high.

Markets Act in Predictable Manner - Stay Tuned for An Important Update This Evening!

I commence with my gratitude to The All Knowre

Stay Tuned for An Important Update This Evening!

Stock Markets Update

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As suspected by me, that markets would be down early this morning. That's why I went into cash at the end of the trading da, yesterday.

I'm on Twitter

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I'm on twitter. See the link to right (1_trader)

Stock Markets Update 6-21-11

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Markets stopped today at very important price junctures, (Please review my last posts).

QQQ is at the gap down level of last week (6/15/) and SPY is at the 6/14 closing prices, before gap down of 6/15.

If I were to be asked about tomorrow price action. I would be in cash today at the close of the market. Market must GAP UP, otherwise, markets shall pull back tomorrow.

My Forecast of 06-16-11 Update

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I said on my 06-16-11 post, the following," buckle up, this rally is going to be strong one!" I also said that," I think we may have rally starting from tomorrow. I was looking at my geometrical time cycle generator, it has a turn date on 06/20/11. It did not have the turn date on 06/13/11 :-)"

Markets have galloped higher since then (some indices after retesting the lows on Friday 06-17-11). S&P has risen 30points or 2.36+%, Nasdaq Composite 60 points or 2.28+%, Russell 2K 2.95+%, Dow Jones Industrial 250+ points or 2.07+%.

Stock Markets Update 6-21-11

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The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index had subsisted its first test of the 200-day moving average.

Is the current upturn sustainable now?

Noteworthy struggle holds at the April low of 1,294, a level that’s restricted the index for two weeks.

Meanwhile, the Dow industrials’ near-term outlook is similar. it’s blasted the resistance at the April low of 12,093. This becomes the area now for first support.

SPX Support holds around 1,279, and below that, a more important floor at the 200-day, currently 1,260.

Nasdaq Composite, Nonetheless, has broken back above its 200-day moving average in T0day’s early price action, and this area has become first support and is followed by another minor floor at 2,685.

With a corrective rally underway, resistance in the 2,700 area marks the Nasdaq’s next major technical hurdle.

GOOG FORECAST 6-19-11

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I had predicted a little time ago about then impending decline in GOOG Prices, which did occur. Please review my previuos GOOG. on 6-17, GOOG reached my target for price of $485. Therefore, look for GOOG to rebound higher from the Friday's low.

Stock Markets Forecast 6-18-11

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Markets have fallen last week as predicted. However, in the last 3 days, when the markets were ready to fall hard, instead, they reversed sharply, after making a lower low by undercutting the Wednesday's low of SPX 1,261.8. As a matter of fact, all indices closed higher on Friday 06/17/11, after falling on day prior or even on Friday, except Tech. stock index Nasdaq Composite. DJ-Transportation, had a very strong bullish close on Friday. This all happening within the time cycle of reversal or change in trend (though temporary). I believe that market shall reverse (as stated in my previous forecasts within last couple of days) and go higher into 06/24 to 06/27.

If the markets do not rally NOW, as estimated by me, than it is very ominous for the markets and stock markets shall fall very hard into this next time cycle of 06/24-06/27.