Friday, August 13, 2010

EURUSD Forecast - Update

I commence with my humblest gratitude to The Most Benevolent, The Ultimate All-Knower of hidden, known and present and future, for the gift of knowledge and then bestowing the ability to share with others

EUR forecast came to fruition on both parts, first on the intermediate top, warning issued on August 04th. After topping, I had given a first price profit target.

Today it closed within 0.10 of a PIP of the forecasted price level, this even impressed me. It happens only, when we are aligned with the Laws of (the Universe) The Creator, The One Who Is The Ultimate Knower. I am still attempting to find my connection with Him. On this quest of subjugation of my own inner negativity (including false ego, false self-pride, vanity), I, sometime, find some light (of knowledge) and able to share it with you. I hope it is helping some of you.

Current Market Outlook - Get Ready for The Decline, I have been Warning about!! - Update 08-12-10

I commence with my humblest gratitude to The Most Benevolent, The Ultimate Knower of all, hidden and obvious for the countless blessings including the knowledge and ability to share.

Markets have been dropping since my forecast (yes, it waited for a few days longer, however could not go higher either, due to the strength of price cycles). However it is not over yet. Weekly and monthly charts are Gann's favorite charts, to determine and verify the trend of the markets. Please see the enclosed, weekly chart. It  clears any doubts, someone might have doubt about the forecast. 3-days chart is great tool, I used and is also Gann's favorite one. 3-days chart also reinforce the same conclusion that further downside is imminent. What to do with any rally attempts? Sell and add more to the existing short positions.!!! Whether you see rallies in FTSE or European markets or US markets. It is all fake-out, or someone trying to unload, by taking the markets higher (can only do for some very small amount of time, intra-day. I know from my own experiences). Going short and selling is the right strategy now, until the trend reverses.

Thursday, August 12, 2010

EURUSD Forecast - Follow Up

I commence with my humblest gratitude to The Most Benevolent, The Ultimate All-Knower for the knowledge and the ability to share

EUR has been selling off real hard, since one day after my forecast. Grace and All Gratitude are entirely and exclusively reserved for His Graciousness and His Magnificence.

Current Market Outlook - Get Ready for The Decline, I have been Warning about!! - Update

I commence with my humblest gratitude to The Most Benevolent, The Ultimate All-Knower for the gifts of knowledge and then Blessing with ability to share with others!

I once again offer my gratitude to My Creator for humbling with His Benevolence and Bestowing me with the ability to forecast the markets trend, when others are confused or lost the sense of markets. I had forecasted a serious sell-off and we got a beginning of it, since August 10th. It was delayed, by anyone or anything by a couple of days. But it only created a dam-like situation, where water was gathering. Once dam is broken, it must gush down with more force, as compared to, if it was let move freely and change its direction, when needed.

I have not posted my price and time cycle proprietary charts for some time. See the attached chart!!

Wednesday, August 11, 2010

Current Market Outlook - Get Ready for The Decline, I have been Warning about!! - UPDATE Update

I commence with my humblest gratitude to The Most Benevolent, The Ultimate All-Knower

Markets tried to rally after FOMC, then sold-off again in last hour.
Financial and Technical Sector are usually who lead the markets to the upside and downside. Let's look at them both, to clear any confusion about the future trend in the markets. Which is DOWN!!! at least in the next immediate future.

Tuesday, August 10, 2010

How to use my trade entry and Exit triggers

I commence with my humblest gratitude to The Most Benevolent, The Ultimate All-Knower of hidden and obvious.

Trading with forecast, along with the trading system: Following just the forecast alone, would have meant an unwise trading strategy. However, using with my own devised trading plan, would have let you stayed out of the market and let you keep your trading capital.

Some Stocks to Look at (AAPL)

I commence with my humblest gratitude to The Ultimate Guide, The All-Knower of hidden and obvious

Current Market Outlook - Get Ready for The Decline, I have been Warning about!! - Update

I commence with my humblest gratitude to The Most Benevolent, The Ultimate All-Knower of hidden and obvious

Some Stocks to Look at (NFLX)

I commence with my humblest gratitude to The Most Benevolent, The Ultimate All-Knower of hidden and obvious.

NetFlix, symbol NFLX, has been trying to trade higher and it has failed in its third attempt yesterday. Although it has successfully filled the gap, however its rejection (though, expected) at this level, indicates a further down move is imminent. Furthermore, it has been squaring its price cycles beautifully. Its below profit target is at least $92.88 (with GOD's Willing and Blessings)

Current Market Outlook - Get Ready for The Decline, I have been Warning about!!

I commence with my humblest gratitude to The Most Benevolent, The Ultimate All-Knower for the countless blessings and ability to share.

Markets have been treading on water and are over-due for the decline.!!!!

RIMM - Price and Time Cycle Complete - ALERT - Update - Update

I commence with my humblest gratitude to The Most Benevolent, The Ultimate All-Knower for the gift of knowledge and ability to share.

RIMM had found the support exactly at the first target zone previously indicated in my earlier RIMM posts, and it bounced to an expected level and it is ready to decline again. As a matter of fact it shall gap down and/or serious sell-off to confirm the continuation of its down-trend.

Monday, August 9, 2010

Financial Markets Outlook -- Where are we headed??

I commence with my humblest gratitude to The Most Benevolent, The Ultimate All-Knower

Since May 2010, Markets have gone up, down several times and every time, testing lows and highs made after the May sever and waterfall decline. One of my other posts, titled "Expect the Unexpected". Well the expected and unexpected (potential) paths of the markets are not that unexpected. We are looking at 4 possible scenarios. 4th one shall be more painful, as it shall drive the market and market participants crazier than one can imagine.

Let us discuss the first 3 case scenarios:
For scenario 3, it shall be easy to determine. When the markets trade and close above the down-trend-line on monthly basis, then we know that we have a new bull markets on our hand, just like 1982, 1988 and 1992.

For scenario 1 (and 2), we look at another indicator, which is called Institutional Index. The Institutional Index is a capitalization-weighted index of 75 stocks most widely held as equity investments among institutional equity portfolios. The index is designed to reflect the performance of their core stockholdings. The XII was developed with a base value of 125 as of June 24, 1986. We know that it is the institutions, big money funds, who drive the markets. Therefore, it is a true representation of the market participants. XII retraced 61.8% and made a lower high in 2007. Thereafter it suffered serious decline and made a lower low in March 2009. We see it rallied and retraced only 50% (less strength than last rally attempt) and make a lower high in March/April 2010. Then next obvious move is the continuation of the down-trend.


Now looking at a bit micro level, we look at the weekly chart of the market. We see that markets have been following a mathematical and geometrical pattern, as alluded to my previous posts (it is one of the time cycles markets follow). Based upon this, we have run over the time cycle, for a over-due decline (and still staying within all these scenarios).


Friday, August 6, 2010

Financial Market Forecast Update (08-05-10)

I commence with my humblest gratitude to The Most Benevolent, The Ultimate All-Knower for the countless Blessings and ability to share

I have been asked several times to give future time cycle date, that how long financial market shall go down. So, please see attached the chart, which gives us the potential turn date in future.  Markets always follow certain geometrical and mathematical and symmetrical patterns. Based upon recent, we have potential dates in future, to look for bottom. (Right now, if you look at the chart, we are over-due for decline)

Thursday, August 5, 2010

RIMM - Price and Time Cycle Complete - ALERT Update

I humbly commence wit my gratitude to The Most Benevolent, The Ultimate All-Knower of hidden and obvious

On August 3rd, 2010, When Everyone in the news media, was excited about RIMM's unveiling of its new smart phone. I, with The Blessing of My Creator, announced that RIMM had completed its Time cycle, and it was triggered by price cycle, thus completing Time/Price Cycle squaring. I entered short exactly after its price squaring, thus advising whoever, would heed to do the same. It has dropped over 10% since the forecast. It is approaching an intermediate support zone.

Financial Market Forecast 08-04-10 Time Cycle is UP

I humbly commence with my gratitude to The Most Benevolent, The Ultimate All-Knower of all hidden and obvious

US Market have been controlled by a time cycle, which started on May 19th 2008. It manifested its first strength on March 09, 2009. Then it made another manifestation on June 13th 2009 weekend by calling it a top. It got activated again on July 8th 2009, and then it crested on Jan 18th 2010. It again created a crest on April 26th and bottom on July 1st. It just completed similar time cycle on August 2nd/3rd, it had the probability of extending up-to Thursday/Friday. Market is on borrowed time. It is safer to be on side, start locking in profits for long positions and or look for shorting opportunities.

Wednesday, August 4, 2010

EURUSD Forecast - Update

I commence with my humblest gratitude to The Most Benevolent, The Ultimate All-Knower

I had alerted you to lock in your profits in EUR long trade, by tightening the stops. EUR has dropped 100 PIPS since the recent high. I hope you heeded to the advice.

How to use my trade entry and Exit triggers

I commence with my humblest gratitude to The Most Benevolent, The Ultimate All-Knower for the countless blessings.

To be successful in trading, we must educate ourselves, if you need education, click the blue banner above, there are several FREE educational videos.

Before and once in the trade, we have to follow trading plan. What is trading plan? I was asked how would I trade or how do I trade? I have given out some of my system of trading. Here is more to the education, how a trade was handled.

It also elaborates how to enter and exit a trade for intra-day basis.

Trading - An Art of War

I commence with my humblest gratitude to The Most Benevolent, The Ultimate All-Knower for the gift of the knowledge and ability to share.

I have received a message from a reader of my post. He (she) stated that he (or she) had lost money, following my posts. Furthermore, he (she) added that I ought to stop posting.
On the first look at the message, it was disturbing and painful to read that someone had lost money.
Then you step back and see, what was that person was saying.
I had never asked to loose your common sense of trading. As a matter of fact, I had written two posts and explained my style of trading, go (click)  here and (click)  here, to read it again. If one follows my trading plan, as I had explained, then not only the risk is limited, but the rewards are extra-ordinary.  I understand from my own experience of thousands of trades (if not millions), that following the trading plan, is the key to the ultimate success in the trading.

Now let's look at my recent forecast of GOOG, posted yesterday.(click) Here is the chart again, where it stated, that "failure of this level, shall mean much lower prices for GOOG." What my reader would have read is the complete statement, not just the later part of the forecast, i.e., "much lower prices for GOOG" Actually, we all have our own filters, that we use in our daily life (including trading) we hear and see what we want to, and filter the rest out. Now back to the GOOG forecast, if one had followed my trading plan, "failure of this level" would require that next day bar must exceed 70% of yesterday's bar to the downside.

Did one wait for CONFIRMATION?
If you did not, then who is to blame, the forecast or the your habit of over-trading and jumping to gun to enter the trade and not wait for confirmation. Whether my forecast or anyone's else, you follow, you are destined to loose money, if you JUST WANT TO TRADE, and not follow the trading plan.

I also had stated in my previous several posts, that when one pattern fails to do, what it is supposed to do, then opposite is true with the similar strength. Again GOOG trade, today price action was the key day to enter trade, short or long, after waiting for the confirmation of the bar exceeding 70% of the previous bar. When it exceeded the previous bar, by 70% in the opposite direction, then you knew that previous expected pattern was violated (and you are still not in the trade, yet) and you shall look for some other guideline, for example, the one posted by me, earlier. (click)  Here is what I posted a forecast for GOOG higher price level beyond yesterday level. This forecast, achieved its first target yesterday or Monday and today, the second target price target was achieved.
Did you notice on the forecast the time cycles coming in for AAPL? If you had watched that on hourly chart, you would have traded and made money on AAPL as well. It stated 07/23 and 07/27 important for AAPL.
Just one AAPL trade as stated, would have meant thousands of dollars.

As a human being, we (including myself) are ungrateful creatures. We are ungrateful to Our Creator and also to others around us. We exhibit this ungrateful behavior pattern in our daily life (thus including trading). We would risk our beautiful relationship, just because one person said or did something that we did not like, and we would forget that person has done so much for us, has given us so much love in our relationship. Just based upon one thing, we would loose our mind and loose our precious friendship, and relationships, which we built over so many years. I am guilty of that, and if you look inside you, so are you!

Now did anyone trade RIMM alert, posted yesterday? It should have doubled your money, if you entered, since my entry of trade. My trade has doubled since yesterday.

Tuesday, August 3, 2010

Lessons of History Part III (and AAPL Forecast)

I commence with my humblest gratitude to The Most Benevolent, The Ultimate Guide

Holy scripture says in Eccl. 1:9 RSV "What has been is what will be, and what has been done is what will be done; there is nothing new under the Sun".

We always look for the clue financial markets give us, as what pattern of past, it is repeating, whether it is the exact formation, or in contracted or expanded form. For example, despite the recent moves of the markets, AAPL has exhibited certain price pattern, which reminded me of its past, similar price pattern was shown from Oct 2009 to end of Feb 2010. It went sideways for certain calendar days, and top and bottom have complete synergy. Please see attached. Same pattern is being repeated, thus we have more downside in AAPL prices. Price and Time Targets are shown therein.

GOOG Forecast

I commence with my humblest gratitude to The Most Benevolent, The Ultimate All-Knower

GOOG is at important price and time cycles levels. It is very likely that it is going to break down and shall head to much lower prices until at least August 16th date.